Sarah Trone Garriott leads the IA-03 House race in trader consensus due to the district's narrow margins in recent cycles and her edge in early fundraising. Zach Nunn won the seat by under two points in both 2022 and 2024, and forecasters continue to rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trone Garriott, a state senator, launched a September 17 television ad highlighting Nunn's committee attendance record and votes tied to Chinese companies, sharpening attacks on national security and economic issues. Broader Iowa polling from mid-September shows Democratic strength on the generic ballot and elevated disapproval for the president, supporting the current 76.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,012 Vol.
$11,012 Vol.
2026/11/04
サラ・トローン・ギャリオット（民主党）
77%
ザック・ナン（共和党）
24%
$11,012 Vol.
$11,012 Vol.
2026/11/04
サラ・トローン・ギャリオット（民主党）
$4,655 Vol.
77%
ザック・ナン（共和党）
$6,357 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Trone Garriott leads the IA-03 House race in trader consensus due to the district's narrow margins in recent cycles and her edge in early fundraising. Zach Nunn won the seat by under two points in both 2022 and 2024, and forecasters continue to rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trone Garriott, a state senator, launched a September 17 television ad highlighting Nunn's committee attendance record and votes tied to Chinese companies, sharpening attacks on national security and economic issues. Broader Iowa polling from mid-September shows Democratic strength on the generic ballot and elevated disapproval for the president, supporting the current 76.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
音量
$11,012終了日
2026/11/05マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Trone Garriott leads the IA-03 House race in trader consensus due to the district's narrow margins in recent cycles and her edge in early fundraising. Zach Nunn won the seat by under two points in both 2022 and 2024, and forecasters continue to rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trone Garriott, a state senator, launched a September 17 television ad highlighting Nunn's committee attendance record and votes tied to Chinese companies, sharpening attacks on national security and economic issues. Broader Iowa polling from mid-September shows Democratic strength on the generic ballot and elevated disapproval for the president, supporting the current 76.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,012終了日
2026/11/05マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Sarah Trone Garriott leads the IA-03 House race in trader consensus due to the district's narrow margins in recent cycles and her edge in early fundraising. Zach Nunn won the seat by under two points in both 2022 and 2024, and forecasters continue to rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trone Garriott, a state senator, launched a September 17 television ad highlighting Nunn's committee attendance record and votes tied to Chinese companies, sharpening attacks on national security and economic issues. Broader Iowa polling from mid-September shows Democratic strength on the generic ballot and elevated disapproval for the president, supporting the current 76.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3 election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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