Democratic consolidation behind state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott, following the withdrawal and endorsement from another primary contender, has strengthened the party's position in Iowa's 3rd district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn, who won reelection by four points in 2024, faces a rematch environment in a suburban Des Moines district rated competitive by forecasters earlier this cycle. Traders appear to weigh Garriott's legislative experience and unified party support against Nunn's incumbency and the district's slight Republican tilt on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any late summer polling could further clarify momentum in this race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
67%
共和党
33%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$2,869 Vol.
67%
共和党
$2,918 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic consolidation behind state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott, following the withdrawal and endorsement from another primary contender, has strengthened the party's position in Iowa's 3rd district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn, who won reelection by four points in 2024, faces a rematch environment in a suburban Des Moines district rated competitive by forecasters earlier this cycle. Traders appear to weigh Garriott's legislative experience and unified party support against Nunn's incumbency and the district's slight Republican tilt on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any late summer polling could further clarify momentum in this race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
音量
$5,786終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic consolidation behind state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott, following the withdrawal and endorsement from another primary contender, has strengthened the party's position in Iowa's 3rd district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn, who won reelection by four points in 2024, faces a rematch environment in a suburban Des Moines district rated competitive by forecasters earlier this cycle. Traders appear to weigh Garriott's legislative experience and unified party support against Nunn's incumbency and the district's slight Republican tilt on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any late summer polling could further clarify momentum in this race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,786終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic consolidation behind state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott, following the withdrawal and endorsement from another primary contender, has strengthened the party's position in Iowa's 3rd district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn, who won reelection by four points in 2024, faces a rematch environment in a suburban Des Moines district rated competitive by forecasters earlier this cycle. Traders appear to weigh Garriott's legislative experience and unified party support against Nunn's incumbency and the district's slight Republican tilt on the Cook Partisan Voting Index. Upcoming campaign finance reports and any late summer polling could further clarify momentum in this race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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