The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
73%
共和党
36%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$1,294 Vol.
73%
共和党
$1,020 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
音量
$2,314終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,314終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Iowa 3rd congressional district race pits Republican incumbent Zach Nunn against Democratic state Senator Sarah Trone Garriott following unopposed primaries on June 2. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Republican, consistent with Nunn’s narrow 2024 victory in this swing district. Recent polling shows the candidates running close, with Democratic fundraising and midterm dynamics contributing to trader views reflected in current probabilities. A Libertarian candidate’s late entry adds uncertainty over potential vote splitting ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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