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ワイオミング州上院第1選挙区共和党予備選

icon for ワイオミング州上院第1選挙区共和党予備選

ワイオミング州上院第1選挙区共和党予備選

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Polymarket
新規
icon for チップ・ナイマン

チップ・ナイマン

$945 Vol.

73%

icon for オグデン・ドリスキル

オグデン・ドリスキル

$137 Vol.

28%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Chip Neiman holds the lead in trader consensus for the Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican primary, reflecting his profile as House Speaker and Freedom Caucus member challenging long-serving incumbent Ogden Driskill. The August 18 contest represents a high-profile test of factional dynamics within the state GOP, with Neiman positioning himself against establishment figures on issues such as legislative procedure and public lands policy. Recent coverage has emphasized the race’s role in broader control of the legislature, amplifying visibility for the challenger. Driskill’s incumbency since 2011 and prior Senate leadership provide counterbalancing strength, yet market pricing indicates traders view Neiman’s institutional role and timing as providing an edge in the low-turnout primary environment. No other declared candidates appear positioned to alter the two-way dynamic before voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,082
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Chip Neiman holds the lead in trader consensus for the Wyoming State Senate District 1 Republican primary, reflecting his profile as House Speaker and Freedom Caucus member challenging long-serving incumbent Ogden Driskill. The August 18 contest represents a high-profile test of factional dynamics within the state GOP, with Neiman positioning himself against establishment figures on issues such as legislative procedure and public lands policy. Recent coverage has emphasized the race’s role in broader control of the legislature, amplifying visibility for the challenger. Driskill’s incumbency since 2011 and prior Senate leadership provide counterbalancing strength, yet market pricing indicates traders view Neiman’s institutional role and timing as providing an edge in the low-turnout primary environment. No other declared candidates appear positioned to alter the two-way dynamic before voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$1,082
終了日
2026/08/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the Wyoming District 1 seat in the Wyoming State Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「ワイオミング州上院第1選挙区共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「チップ・ナイマン」で73%、次いで「オグデン・ドリスキル」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、73¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に73%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ワイオミング州上院第1選挙区共和党予備選」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 13, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ワイオミング州上院第1選挙区共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ワイオミング州上院第1選挙区共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「チップ・ナイマン」で73%であり、市場がこの結果に73%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「オグデン・ドリスキル」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ワイオミング州上院第1選挙区共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。