The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic performance history and urban Chicago-Cook County voter base have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.3%. Retiring incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García cleared the path for his chief of staff, Patty Garcia, who secured the party's nomination after an uncontested March 2026 primary. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo, previously lost the seat by wide margins. A significant shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal, health issue, or dramatic change in national political conditions within the remaining months before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,331 Vol.
$52,331 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$52,331 Vol.
$52,331 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$37,684 Vol.
95%
共和党
$14,647 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic performance history and urban Chicago-Cook County voter base have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.3%. Retiring incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García cleared the path for his chief of staff, Patty Garcia, who secured the party's nomination after an uncontested March 2026 primary. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo, previously lost the seat by wide margins. A significant shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal, health issue, or dramatic change in national political conditions within the remaining months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$52,331終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic performance history and urban Chicago-Cook County voter base have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.3%. Retiring incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García cleared the path for his chief of staff, Patty Garcia, who secured the party's nomination after an uncontested March 2026 primary. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo, previously lost the seat by wide margins. A significant shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal, health issue, or dramatic change in national political conditions within the remaining months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$52,331終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 4th congressional district's strong Democratic performance history and urban Chicago-Cook County voter base have produced the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.3%. Retiring incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García cleared the path for his chief of staff, Patty Garcia, who secured the party's nomination after an uncontested March 2026 primary. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo, previously lost the seat by wide margins. A significant shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal, health issue, or dramatic change in national political conditions within the remaining months before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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