Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez represents Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a Chicago-area seat with a Cook PVI of D+17 that she carried by roughly 34 points in 2024. Both major-party nominees—Ramirez and Republican Angel Oakley—advanced unopposed from the March 2026 primaries, leaving the November 3 general election as a low-competition contest in a district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the current 94 percent Democratic price aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the balance, such as scandals, primary challenges, or shifts in national political conditions. A late-breaking event involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make such an outcome unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,475 Vol.
$36,475 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
2%
$36,475 Vol.
$36,475 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,891 Vol.
94%
共和党
$21,585 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez represents Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a Chicago-area seat with a Cook PVI of D+17 that she carried by roughly 34 points in 2024. Both major-party nominees—Ramirez and Republican Angel Oakley—advanced unopposed from the March 2026 primaries, leaving the November 3 general election as a low-competition contest in a district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the current 94 percent Democratic price aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the balance, such as scandals, primary challenges, or shifts in national political conditions. A late-breaking event involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make such an outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$36,475終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez represents Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a Chicago-area seat with a Cook PVI of D+17 that she carried by roughly 34 points in 2024. Both major-party nominees—Ramirez and Republican Angel Oakley—advanced unopposed from the March 2026 primaries, leaving the November 3 general election as a low-competition contest in a district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the current 94 percent Democratic price aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the balance, such as scandals, primary challenges, or shifts in national political conditions. A late-breaking event involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make such an outcome unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,475終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez represents Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a Chicago-area seat with a Cook PVI of D+17 that she carried by roughly 34 points in 2024. Both major-party nominees—Ramirez and Republican Angel Oakley—advanced unopposed from the March 2026 primaries, leaving the November 3 general election as a low-competition contest in a district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates. Trader consensus reflected in the current 94 percent Democratic price aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the balance, such as scandals, primary challenges, or shifts in national political conditions. A late-breaking event involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the district’s partisan composition make such an outcome unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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