Democratic incumbent Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat encompassing northwestern Chicago neighborhoods and nearby DuPage County suburbs. The district’s D+17 partisan voter index and Ramirez’s 2024 reelection margin above 35 points underpin the 94% Democratic implied probability, as the area consistently delivers large Democratic majorities in federal races. Both candidates advanced through uncontested or low-contest March 2026 primaries with no subsequent polling shifts or notable scandals reported. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or late-cycle turnout surprises among suburban voters, though historical patterns indicate limited upside for the challenger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,474 Vol.
$36,474 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
2%
$36,474 Vol.
$36,474 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,891 Vol.
94%
共和党
$21,583 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat encompassing northwestern Chicago neighborhoods and nearby DuPage County suburbs. The district’s D+17 partisan voter index and Ramirez’s 2024 reelection margin above 35 points underpin the 94% Democratic implied probability, as the area consistently delivers large Democratic majorities in federal races. Both candidates advanced through uncontested or low-contest March 2026 primaries with no subsequent polling shifts or notable scandals reported. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or late-cycle turnout surprises among suburban voters, though historical patterns indicate limited upside for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$36,474終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat encompassing northwestern Chicago neighborhoods and nearby DuPage County suburbs. The district’s D+17 partisan voter index and Ramirez’s 2024 reelection margin above 35 points underpin the 94% Democratic implied probability, as the area consistently delivers large Democratic majorities in federal races. Both candidates advanced through uncontested or low-contest March 2026 primaries with no subsequent polling shifts or notable scandals reported. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or late-cycle turnout surprises among suburban voters, though historical patterns indicate limited upside for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,474終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Delia Ramirez faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November 2026 general election for Illinois’s 3rd congressional district, a seat encompassing northwestern Chicago neighborhoods and nearby DuPage County suburbs. The district’s D+17 partisan voter index and Ramirez’s 2024 reelection margin above 35 points underpin the 94% Democratic implied probability, as the area consistently delivers large Democratic majorities in federal races. Both candidates advanced through uncontested or low-contest March 2026 primaries with no subsequent polling shifts or notable scandals reported. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment, an unforeseen personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent, or late-cycle turnout surprises among suburban voters, though historical patterns indicate limited upside for the challenger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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