The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Delia Ramirez in the November 3, 2026 general election. Ramirez advanced unopposed through the March 17 Democratic primary while raising over $1.29 million, compared to Republican nominee Angel Oakley's roughly $5,000 in reported contributions. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have rated the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Oakley's background as a former village trustee and cannabis business consultant has not generated significant momentum or endorsements capable of narrowing the gap. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts show limited volatility this close to Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$51,312 Vol.
$51,312 Vol.
2026/11/02
デリア・ラミレス（民主党）
97%
アンジェル・オークリー（共和党）
2%
$51,312 Vol.
$51,312 Vol.
2026/11/02
デリア・ラミレス（民主党）
$27,041 Vol.
97%
アンジェル・オークリー（共和党）
$24,271 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Delia Ramirez in the November 3, 2026 general election. Ramirez advanced unopposed through the March 17 Democratic primary while raising over $1.29 million, compared to Republican nominee Angel Oakley's roughly $5,000 in reported contributions. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have rated the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Oakley's background as a former village trustee and cannabis business consultant has not generated significant momentum or endorsements capable of narrowing the gap. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts show limited volatility this close to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$51,312終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Delia Ramirez in the November 3, 2026 general election. Ramirez advanced unopposed through the March 17 Democratic primary while raising over $1.29 million, compared to Republican nominee Angel Oakley's roughly $5,000 in reported contributions. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have rated the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Oakley's background as a former village trustee and cannabis business consultant has not generated significant momentum or endorsements capable of narrowing the gap. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts show limited volatility this close to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$51,312終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Delia Ramirez in the November 3, 2026 general election. Ramirez advanced unopposed through the March 17 Democratic primary while raising over $1.29 million, compared to Republican nominee Angel Oakley's roughly $5,000 in reported contributions. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have rated the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Oakley's background as a former village trustee and cannabis business consultant has not generated significant momentum or endorsements capable of narrowing the gap. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical patterns in similarly partisan districts show limited volatility this close to Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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