The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban and suburban Chicago footprint plus consistent margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open contest, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field of ten candidates, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established a clear general-election frontrunner. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising in a district where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 65 percent. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals could narrow the gap, yet the current pricing reflects the district's entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of competitive cross-party dynamics ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,202 Vol.
$32,202 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$32,202 Vol.
$32,202 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$13,695 Vol.
94%
共和党
$18,507 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban and suburban Chicago footprint plus consistent margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open contest, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field of ten candidates, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established a clear general-election frontrunner. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising in a district where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 65 percent. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals could narrow the gap, yet the current pricing reflects the district's entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of competitive cross-party dynamics ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$32,202終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban and suburban Chicago footprint plus consistent margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open contest, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field of ten candidates, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established a clear general-election frontrunner. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising in a district where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 65 percent. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals could narrow the gap, yet the current pricing reflects the district's entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of competitive cross-party dynamics ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,202終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district's strong Democratic lean, rooted in its urban and suburban Chicago footprint plus consistent margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5 percent consensus for the Democratic nominee. Robin Kelly's decision to vacate the seat for a Senate bid created an open contest, but Donna Miller's March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field of ten candidates, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established a clear general-election frontrunner. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds with limited name recognition and fundraising in a district where Democratic performance has historically exceeded 65 percent. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unexpected scandals could narrow the gap, yet the current pricing reflects the district's entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of competitive cross-party dynamics ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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