The open TX-21 seat, vacated by the incumbent pursuing higher office, sits in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index and a history of double-digit Republican presidential margins, including Donald Trump's 11.5-point win in 2024. Redistricting further strengthened the map for Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election. Mark Teixeira secured the GOP nomination with a primary win exceeding 60 percent, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership. Democrat Kristin Hook prevailed in her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged contest in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$64,099 Vol.
$64,099 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$64,099 Vol.
$64,099 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$34,104 Vol.
94%
民主党
$29,994 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-21 seat, vacated by the incumbent pursuing higher office, sits in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index and a history of double-digit Republican presidential margins, including Donald Trump's 11.5-point win in 2024. Redistricting further strengthened the map for Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election. Mark Teixeira secured the GOP nomination with a primary win exceeding 60 percent, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership. Democrat Kristin Hook prevailed in her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged contest in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$64,099終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open TX-21 seat, vacated by the incumbent pursuing higher office, sits in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index and a history of double-digit Republican presidential margins, including Donald Trump's 11.5-point win in 2024. Redistricting further strengthened the map for Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election. Mark Teixeira secured the GOP nomination with a primary win exceeding 60 percent, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership. Democrat Kristin Hook prevailed in her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged contest in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$64,099終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The open TX-21 seat, vacated by the incumbent pursuing higher office, sits in a district with an R+10 Partisan Voter Index and a history of double-digit Republican presidential margins, including Donald Trump's 11.5-point win in 2024. Redistricting further strengthened the map for Republicans ahead of the November 3 general election. Mark Teixeira secured the GOP nomination with a primary win exceeding 60 percent, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership. Democrat Kristin Hook prevailed in her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged contest in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge, nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies could narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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