The TX-21 House race shows a strong Republican advantage driven by the district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates. Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in a March primary with endorsements from high-profile party figures and now faces Democrat Kristin Hook in a November general election rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Redistricting reinforced the seat's conservative tilt while the open status following the prior incumbent's retirement has not altered its fundamentals. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similar districts and limited evidence of shifting voter coalitions. Late developments such as a national political wave, major candidate-specific issues, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the outcome, though current indicators point to continuity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$64,159 Vol.
$64,159 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$64,159 Vol.
$64,159 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$34,104 Vol.
94%
民主党
$30,054 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-21 House race shows a strong Republican advantage driven by the district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates. Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in a March primary with endorsements from high-profile party figures and now faces Democrat Kristin Hook in a November general election rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Redistricting reinforced the seat's conservative tilt while the open status following the prior incumbent's retirement has not altered its fundamentals. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similar districts and limited evidence of shifting voter coalitions. Late developments such as a national political wave, major candidate-specific issues, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the outcome, though current indicators point to continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$64,159終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-21 House race shows a strong Republican advantage driven by the district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates. Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in a March primary with endorsements from high-profile party figures and now faces Democrat Kristin Hook in a November general election rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Redistricting reinforced the seat's conservative tilt while the open status following the prior incumbent's retirement has not altered its fundamentals. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similar districts and limited evidence of shifting voter coalitions. Late developments such as a national political wave, major candidate-specific issues, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the outcome, though current indicators point to continuity.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$64,159終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-21 House race shows a strong Republican advantage driven by the district's R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates. Mark Teixeira secured the Republican nomination in a March primary with endorsements from high-profile party figures and now faces Democrat Kristin Hook in a November general election rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Redistricting reinforced the seat's conservative tilt while the open status following the prior incumbent's retirement has not altered its fundamentals. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similar districts and limited evidence of shifting voter coalitions. Late developments such as a national political wave, major candidate-specific issues, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the outcome, though current indicators point to continuity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問