The Texas 22nd congressional district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 to R+11 and strong 2024 presidential margins, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination with a decisive 75.7 percent in the March 3, 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from her party's primary, but the district's suburban Houston composition across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties offers limited crossover appeal. With the general election set for November 3, 2026 and no significant polling shifts or registration changes reported since the primaries, the implied probability aligns with historical voting patterns and race ratings classifying the contest as Solid Republican.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
13%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,280 Vol.
88%
民主党
$2,092 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 22nd congressional district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 to R+11 and strong 2024 presidential margins, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination with a decisive 75.7 percent in the March 3, 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from her party's primary, but the district's suburban Houston composition across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties offers limited crossover appeal. With the general election set for November 3, 2026 and no significant polling shifts or registration changes reported since the primaries, the implied probability aligns with historical voting patterns and race ratings classifying the contest as Solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$3,373終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 22nd congressional district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 to R+11 and strong 2024 presidential margins, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination with a decisive 75.7 percent in the March 3, 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from her party's primary, but the district's suburban Houston composition across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties offers limited crossover appeal. With the general election set for November 3, 2026 and no significant polling shifts or registration changes reported since the primaries, the implied probability aligns with historical voting patterns and race ratings classifying the contest as Solid Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,373終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 22nd congressional district's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9 to R+11 and strong 2024 presidential margins, continues to drive trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. Incumbent Troy Nehls's retirement opened the seat, yet his identical twin Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination with a decisive 75.7 percent in the March 3, 2026 primary. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott emerged from her party's primary, but the district's suburban Houston composition across Harris, Fort Bend, and Brazoria counties offers limited crossover appeal. With the general election set for November 3, 2026 and no significant polling shifts or registration changes reported since the primaries, the implied probability aligns with historical voting patterns and race ratings classifying the contest as Solid Republican.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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