Redistricting following a November 2025 court ruling shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district to encompass most of Salt Lake County, creating a Democratic-leaning seat where Kamala Harris would have won by 24 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, secured the nomination earlier, while Democrats face a June 23 primary featuring former Representative Ben McAdams, who leads polling, alongside State Senator Nate Blouin and other contenders. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 78% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s altered partisan composition and limited path for Republican success absent major shifts before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,257 Vol.
$27,257 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
82%
共和党
8%
$27,257 Vol.
$27,257 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$1,450 Vol.
82%
共和党
$25,807 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a November 2025 court ruling shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district to encompass most of Salt Lake County, creating a Democratic-leaning seat where Kamala Harris would have won by 24 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, secured the nomination earlier, while Democrats face a June 23 primary featuring former Representative Ben McAdams, who leads polling, alongside State Senator Nate Blouin and other contenders. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 78% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s altered partisan composition and limited path for Republican success absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$27,257終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a November 2025 court ruling shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district to encompass most of Salt Lake County, creating a Democratic-leaning seat where Kamala Harris would have won by 24 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, secured the nomination earlier, while Democrats face a June 23 primary featuring former Representative Ben McAdams, who leads polling, alongside State Senator Nate Blouin and other contenders. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 78% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s altered partisan composition and limited path for Republican success absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,257終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following a November 2025 court ruling shifted Utah’s 1st congressional district to encompass most of Salt Lake County, creating a Democratic-leaning seat where Kamala Harris would have won by 24 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican nominee, Riley Owen, secured the nomination earlier, while Democrats face a June 23 primary featuring former Representative Ben McAdams, who leads polling, alongside State Senator Nate Blouin and other contenders. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 78% implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s altered partisan composition and limited path for Republican success absent major shifts before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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