Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination for Utah’s 2nd congressional district after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote. The newly configured district, encompassing Box Elder, Cache, Rich, Davis, and most of Weber counties, rates as solidly Republican across major forecasters due to its voter composition and historical margins. Moore’s three-term tenure, endorsements from party leadership, and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition from nominee Peter Crosby have reinforced trader consensus on a Republican hold. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national midterm surge could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,961 Vol.
$12,961 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$12,961 Vol.
$12,961 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,462 Vol.
95%
民主党
$10,500 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination for Utah’s 2nd congressional district after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote. The newly configured district, encompassing Box Elder, Cache, Rich, Davis, and most of Weber counties, rates as solidly Republican across major forecasters due to its voter composition and historical margins. Moore’s three-term tenure, endorsements from party leadership, and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition from nominee Peter Crosby have reinforced trader consensus on a Republican hold. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national midterm surge could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$12,961終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination for Utah’s 2nd congressional district after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote. The newly configured district, encompassing Box Elder, Cache, Rich, Davis, and most of Weber counties, rates as solidly Republican across major forecasters due to its voter composition and historical margins. Moore’s three-term tenure, endorsements from party leadership, and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition from nominee Peter Crosby have reinforced trader consensus on a Republican hold. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national midterm surge could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,961終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination for Utah’s 2nd congressional district after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote. The newly configured district, encompassing Box Elder, Cache, Rich, Davis, and most of Weber counties, rates as solidly Republican across major forecasters due to its voter composition and historical margins. Moore’s three-term tenure, endorsements from party leadership, and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition from nominee Peter Crosby have reinforced trader consensus on a Republican hold. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national midterm surge could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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