Utah's 3rd congressional district features a strongly Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+21 following recent redistricting, which shifted boundaries to include more conservative areas in southern and eastern Utah. Incumbent Republican Celeste Maloy secured the nomination by defeating primary challenger Phil Lyman by roughly 36 points in June 2026, aided by substantial fundraising and endorsements within the party. The Democratic nominee, Kent Udell, advanced unopposed but faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus for a Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national midterm shifts could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,508 Vol.
$12,508 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$12,508 Vol.
$12,508 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,076 Vol.
95%
民主党
$2,432 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district features a strongly Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+21 following recent redistricting, which shifted boundaries to include more conservative areas in southern and eastern Utah. Incumbent Republican Celeste Maloy secured the nomination by defeating primary challenger Phil Lyman by roughly 36 points in June 2026, aided by substantial fundraising and endorsements within the party. The Democratic nominee, Kent Udell, advanced unopposed but faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus for a Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national midterm shifts could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$12,508終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district features a strongly Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+21 following recent redistricting, which shifted boundaries to include more conservative areas in southern and eastern Utah. Incumbent Republican Celeste Maloy secured the nomination by defeating primary challenger Phil Lyman by roughly 36 points in June 2026, aided by substantial fundraising and endorsements within the party. The Democratic nominee, Kent Udell, advanced unopposed but faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus for a Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national midterm shifts could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,508終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd congressional district features a strongly Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+21 following recent redistricting, which shifted boundaries to include more conservative areas in southern and eastern Utah. Incumbent Republican Celeste Maloy secured the nomination by defeating primary challenger Phil Lyman by roughly 36 points in June 2026, aided by substantial fundraising and endorsements within the party. The Democratic nominee, Kent Udell, advanced unopposed but faces limited visibility and resources in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus for a Republican victory aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national midterm shifts could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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