Republican incumbent Derek Schmidt seeks re-election in Kansas’s 2nd congressional district, a seat he captured in 2024. Nonpartisan analysts at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball currently classify the district as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its voting patterns across eastern Kansas outside the Kansas City metro area. With the August primaries still ahead and Democratic primary activity limited to early filers such as Don Coover, traders assign the Republican Party an 87.5% implied probability. The assessment reflects the district’s structural partisan baseline, the incumbent’s established position, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
13%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,109 Vol.
88%
民主党
$4,584 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Derek Schmidt seeks re-election in Kansas’s 2nd congressional district, a seat he captured in 2024. Nonpartisan analysts at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball currently classify the district as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its voting patterns across eastern Kansas outside the Kansas City metro area. With the August primaries still ahead and Democratic primary activity limited to early filers such as Don Coover, traders assign the Republican Party an 87.5% implied probability. The assessment reflects the district’s structural partisan baseline, the incumbent’s established position, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$6,693終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Derek Schmidt seeks re-election in Kansas’s 2nd congressional district, a seat he captured in 2024. Nonpartisan analysts at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball currently classify the district as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its voting patterns across eastern Kansas outside the Kansas City metro area. With the August primaries still ahead and Democratic primary activity limited to early filers such as Don Coover, traders assign the Republican Party an 87.5% implied probability. The assessment reflects the district’s structural partisan baseline, the incumbent’s established position, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,693終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Derek Schmidt seeks re-election in Kansas’s 2nd congressional district, a seat he captured in 2024. Nonpartisan analysts at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball currently classify the district as solid or safe Republican, consistent with its voting patterns across eastern Kansas outside the Kansas City metro area. With the August primaries still ahead and Democratic primary activity limited to early filers such as Don Coover, traders assign the Republican Party an 87.5% implied probability. The assessment reflects the district’s structural partisan baseline, the incumbent’s established position, and the absence of recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before November 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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