The Kansas 2nd congressional district's Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns and the incumbent's 2024 performance, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Derek Schmidt secured the GOP nomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Don Coover advanced unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with its eastern Kansas geography spanning Topeka and surrounding areas. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited Democratic fundraising or polling momentum has kept the race off competitive watch lists, reinforcing the implied probability gap ahead of the general election campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
89%
民主党
13%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,729 Vol.
89%
民主党
$4,606 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Kansas 2nd congressional district's Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns and the incumbent's 2024 performance, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Derek Schmidt secured the GOP nomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Don Coover advanced unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with its eastern Kansas geography spanning Topeka and surrounding areas. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited Democratic fundraising or polling momentum has kept the race off competitive watch lists, reinforcing the implied probability gap ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,336終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Kansas 2nd congressional district's Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns and the incumbent's 2024 performance, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Derek Schmidt secured the GOP nomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Don Coover advanced unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with its eastern Kansas geography spanning Topeka and surrounding areas. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited Democratic fundraising or polling momentum has kept the race off competitive watch lists, reinforcing the implied probability gap ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,336終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Kansas 2nd congressional district's Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential voting patterns and the incumbent's 2024 performance, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Derek Schmidt secured the GOP nomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Don Coover advanced unopposed on his side. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Republican, consistent with its eastern Kansas geography spanning Topeka and surrounding areas. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited Democratic fundraising or polling momentum has kept the race off competitive watch lists, reinforcing the implied probability gap ahead of the general election campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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