Virginia's 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, where the incumbent John McGuire faces a primary challenge but benefits from the district's consistent support for Republican candidates, including a 12-point Trump margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries and November vote. Democratic contenders, led by former Representative Tom Perriello, are competing in their primary, yet historical voting patterns and the district's rural character limit their prospects. Independent candidates add minor variables, but trader consensus aligns with the established partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in the race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$55,468 Vol.
$55,468 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
72%
民主党
26%
$55,468 Vol.
$55,468 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$26,615 Vol.
72%
民主党
$28,853 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, where the incumbent John McGuire faces a primary challenge but benefits from the district's consistent support for Republican candidates, including a 12-point Trump margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries and November vote. Democratic contenders, led by former Representative Tom Perriello, are competing in their primary, yet historical voting patterns and the district's rural character limit their prospects. Independent candidates add minor variables, but trader consensus aligns with the established partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$55,468終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, where the incumbent John McGuire faces a primary challenge but benefits from the district's consistent support for Republican candidates, including a 12-point Trump margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries and November vote. Democratic contenders, led by former Representative Tom Perriello, are competing in their primary, yet historical voting patterns and the district's rural character limit their prospects. Independent candidates add minor variables, but trader consensus aligns with the established partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$55,468終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, where the incumbent John McGuire faces a primary challenge but benefits from the district's consistent support for Republican candidates, including a 12-point Trump margin in 2024. Forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries and November vote. Democratic contenders, led by former Representative Tom Perriello, are competing in their primary, yet historical voting patterns and the district's rural character limit their prospects. Independent candidates add minor variables, but trader consensus aligns with the established partisan baseline and limited recent shifts in the race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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