The Republican Party holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district due to its established partisan lean and the presence of incumbent John McGuire. The district, encompassing rural Southside Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and favored Donald Trump by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Primaries scheduled for August 2026 feature McGuire facing a challenger on the Republican side and multiple Democrats, including former representative Tom Perriello who later shifted focus elsewhere following a redistricting referendum. These structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts sustaining Democratic momentum underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$55,561 Vol.
$55,561 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
76%
民主党
27%
$55,561 Vol.
$55,561 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$26,668 Vol.
76%
民主党
$28,893 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district due to its established partisan lean and the presence of incumbent John McGuire. The district, encompassing rural Southside Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and favored Donald Trump by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Primaries scheduled for August 2026 feature McGuire facing a challenger on the Republican side and multiple Democrats, including former representative Tom Perriello who later shifted focus elsewhere following a redistricting referendum. These structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts sustaining Democratic momentum underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$55,561終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district due to its established partisan lean and the presence of incumbent John McGuire. The district, encompassing rural Southside Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and favored Donald Trump by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Primaries scheduled for August 2026 feature McGuire facing a challenger on the Republican side and multiple Democrats, including former representative Tom Perriello who later shifted focus elsewhere following a redistricting referendum. These structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts sustaining Democratic momentum underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$55,561終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district due to its established partisan lean and the presence of incumbent John McGuire. The district, encompassing rural Southside Virginia including Charlottesville, Lynchburg, and Danville, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+6 and favored Donald Trump by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican. Primaries scheduled for August 2026 feature McGuire facing a challenger on the Republican side and multiple Democrats, including former representative Tom Perriello who later shifted focus elsewhere following a redistricting referendum. These structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts sustaining Democratic momentum underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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