Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The open seat following longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2025 retirement announcement has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the June 23 vote, yet the district's suburban and southern Maryland voter base has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in this environment, with the November 2026 general election unlikely to shift absent a major national realignment or unusual local developments. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,971 Vol.
$15,971 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$15,971 Vol.
$15,971 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,538 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,433 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The open seat following longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2025 retirement announcement has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the June 23 vote, yet the district's suburban and southern Maryland voter base has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in this environment, with the November 2026 general election unlikely to shift absent a major national realignment or unusual local developments. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,971終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The open seat following longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2025 retirement announcement has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the June 23 vote, yet the district's suburban and southern Maryland voter base has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in this environment, with the November 2026 general election unlikely to shift absent a major national realignment or unusual local developments. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,971終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The open seat following longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer's January 2025 retirement announcement has drawn multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the June 23 vote, yet the district's suburban and southern Maryland voter base has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Republican candidates face structural disadvantages in this environment, with the November 2026 general election unlikely to shift absent a major national realignment or unusual local developments. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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