Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The open seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement drew a crowded Democratic primary that Adrian Boafo won in June 2026 with establishment endorsements, while Republican Chris Chaffee secured his party’s nomination in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a commanding lead because the district’s voter base, concentrated in Prince George’s County and surrounding areas, has historically delivered overwhelming support for Democratic nominees in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the structural partisan imbalance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,184 Vol.
$18,184 Vol.
2026/11/02
エイドリアン・ボアフォ（民主党）
95%
クリス・チャフィー（共和党）
3%
$18,184 Vol.
$18,184 Vol.
2026/11/02
エイドリアン・ボアフォ（民主党）
$8,754 Vol.
95%
クリス・チャフィー（共和党）
$9,430 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The open seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement drew a crowded Democratic primary that Adrian Boafo won in June 2026 with establishment endorsements, while Republican Chris Chaffee secured his party’s nomination in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a commanding lead because the district’s voter base, concentrated in Prince George’s County and surrounding areas, has historically delivered overwhelming support for Democratic nominees in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the structural partisan imbalance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$18,184終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The open seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement drew a crowded Democratic primary that Adrian Boafo won in June 2026 with establishment endorsements, while Republican Chris Chaffee secured his party’s nomination in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a commanding lead because the district’s voter base, concentrated in Prince George’s County and surrounding areas, has historically delivered overwhelming support for Democratic nominees in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the structural partisan imbalance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,184終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The open seat following Steny Hoyer’s retirement drew a crowded Democratic primary that Adrian Boafo won in June 2026 with establishment endorsements, while Republican Chris Chaffee secured his party’s nomination in a low-turnout contest. Traders assign the Democratic Party a commanding lead because the district’s voter base, concentrated in Prince George’s County and surrounding areas, has historically delivered overwhelming support for Democratic nominees in general elections. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability given the structural partisan imbalance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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