Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District has long favored Democrats, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection opened the seat for a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, yet the general election remains heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one, and forecasters across major outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is smaller and less funded, limiting any path to competitiveness in November. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,971 Vol.
$15,971 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
10%
$15,971 Vol.
$15,971 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,538 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,433 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District has long favored Democrats, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection opened the seat for a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, yet the general election remains heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one, and forecasters across major outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is smaller and less funded, limiting any path to competitiveness in November. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,971終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District has long favored Democrats, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection opened the seat for a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, yet the general election remains heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one, and forecasters across major outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is smaller and less funded, limiting any path to competitiveness in November. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,971終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District has long favored Democrats, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent results in recent cycles. Incumbent Steny Hoyer’s decision not to seek reelection opened the seat for a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, yet the general election remains heavily tilted toward the eventual Democratic nominee. Registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one, and forecasters across major outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. The Republican primary field is smaller and less funded, limiting any path to competitiveness in November. Only extraordinary late developments, such as a major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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