Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent for the incumbent. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid, bolstered by substantial fundraising totals exceeding $5 million and recent endorsements. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 11 contest, yet the district's voter composition in Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County suburbs limits their general election viability on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late primary surprise or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the general ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,820 Vol.
$40,820 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$40,820 Vol.
$40,820 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,817 Vol.
94%
共和党
$24,002 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent for the incumbent. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid, bolstered by substantial fundraising totals exceeding $5 million and recent endorsements. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 11 contest, yet the district's voter composition in Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County suburbs limits their general election viability on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late primary surprise or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the general ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$40,820終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent for the incumbent. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid, bolstered by substantial fundraising totals exceeding $5 million and recent endorsements. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 11 contest, yet the district's voter composition in Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County suburbs limits their general election viability on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late primary surprise or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the general ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,820終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and consistent general election margins above 70 percent for the incumbent. Incumbent Representative Ilhan Omar secured the Democratic-Farmer-Labor nomination path after forgoing a Senate bid, bolstered by substantial fundraising totals exceeding $5 million and recent endorsements. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 11 contest, yet the district's voter composition in Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County suburbs limits their general election viability on November 3. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though a late primary surprise or unforeseen national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the general ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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