Ilhan Omar holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean and her strong primary performance. The district, encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding areas, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, with Omar securing the DFL nomination by more than 80% against multiple challengers on August 11. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired police officer who won his primary, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the voter base to overcome the structural tilt. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 98% for Omar aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,663 Vol.
$48,663 Vol.
2026/11/02
イルハン・オマル（民主党）
98%
ジョン・ネーゲル（共和党）
1%
$48,663 Vol.
$48,663 Vol.
2026/11/02
イルハン・オマル（民主党）
$18,221 Vol.
98%
ジョン・ネーゲル（共和党）
$30,442 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ilhan Omar holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean and her strong primary performance. The district, encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding areas, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, with Omar securing the DFL nomination by more than 80% against multiple challengers on August 11. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired police officer who won his primary, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the voter base to overcome the structural tilt. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 98% for Omar aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$48,663終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ilhan Omar holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean and her strong primary performance. The district, encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding areas, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, with Omar securing the DFL nomination by more than 80% against multiple challengers on August 11. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired police officer who won his primary, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the voter base to overcome the structural tilt. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 98% for Omar aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$48,663終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Ilhan Omar holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 5th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's deep Democratic lean and her strong primary performance. The district, encompassing Minneapolis and surrounding areas, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, with Omar securing the DFL nomination by more than 80% against multiple challengers on August 11. Republican nominee John Nagel, a retired police officer who won his primary, trails significantly in fundraising and lacks the voter base to overcome the structural tilt. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 98% for Omar aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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