Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in its urban Minneapolis-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent in the prior general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek reelection rather than pursue a Senate bid has consolidated party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary features a limited field with no evident momentum. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and structural advantages that align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. A primary upset or unforeseen general-election development could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events given the district's partisan composition and institutional endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$40,820 Vol.
$40,820 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$40,820 Vol.
$40,820 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,817 Vol.
94%
共和党
$24,002 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in its urban Minneapolis-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent in the prior general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek reelection rather than pursue a Senate bid has consolidated party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary features a limited field with no evident momentum. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and structural advantages that align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. A primary upset or unforeseen general-election development could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events given the district's partisan composition and institutional endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$40,820終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in its urban Minneapolis-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent in the prior general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek reelection rather than pursue a Senate bid has consolidated party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary features a limited field with no evident momentum. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and structural advantages that align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. A primary upset or unforeseen general-election development could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events given the district's partisan composition and institutional endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$40,820終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean rooted in its urban Minneapolis-area demographics and consistent voting patterns, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent in the prior general election. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's decision to seek reelection rather than pursue a Senate bid has consolidated party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary features a limited field with no evident momentum. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting historical margins and structural advantages that align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in November. A primary upset or unforeseen general-election development could theoretically alter the outcome, though both remain low-probability events given the district's partisan composition and institutional endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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