Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its urban and suburban demographics across Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County communities, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured re-election in 2024 with over 74 percent of the vote, and all major forecasters rate the 2026 race as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August primary and November general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. While an unexpected primary upset, major candidate health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, the seat's partisan baseline has shown resilience against such variables in prior cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,011 Vol.
$41,011 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$41,011 Vol.
$41,011 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,009 Vol.
94%
共和党
$24,002 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its urban and suburban demographics across Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County communities, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured re-election in 2024 with over 74 percent of the vote, and all major forecasters rate the 2026 race as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August primary and November general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. While an unexpected primary upset, major candidate health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, the seat's partisan baseline has shown resilience against such variables in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$41,011終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its urban and suburban demographics across Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County communities, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured re-election in 2024 with over 74 percent of the vote, and all major forecasters rate the 2026 race as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August primary and November general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. While an unexpected primary upset, major candidate health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, the seat's partisan baseline has shown resilience against such variables in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$41,011終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt rooted in its urban and suburban demographics across Minneapolis and surrounding Hennepin County communities, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured re-election in 2024 with over 74 percent of the vote, and all major forecasters rate the 2026 race as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the August primary and November general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and limited Republican infrastructure in the district. While an unexpected primary upset, major candidate health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, the seat's partisan baseline has shown resilience against such variables in prior cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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