Incumbent John Rutherford maintains a commanding lead in Florida's 5th congressional district due to the area's strong Republican tilt under the current map, his established name recognition, and decisive primary victory over challenger Mark Kaye. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Challenger Rachel Grage, who secured her party's nomination, faces structural barriers including fundraising gaps and the district's partisan composition. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent re-election rates in comparable districts. A major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,844 Vol.
$16,844 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・ラザフォード（共和党）
93%
レイチェル・グレイジ（民主党）
8%
$16,844 Vol.
$16,844 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・ラザフォード（共和党）
$8,841 Vol.
93%
レイチェル・グレイジ（民主党）
$8,002 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Rutherford maintains a commanding lead in Florida's 5th congressional district due to the area's strong Republican tilt under the current map, his established name recognition, and decisive primary victory over challenger Mark Kaye. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Challenger Rachel Grage, who secured her party's nomination, faces structural barriers including fundraising gaps and the district's partisan composition. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent re-election rates in comparable districts. A major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$16,844終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent John Rutherford maintains a commanding lead in Florida's 5th congressional district due to the area's strong Republican tilt under the current map, his established name recognition, and decisive primary victory over challenger Mark Kaye. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Challenger Rachel Grage, who secured her party's nomination, faces structural barriers including fundraising gaps and the district's partisan composition. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent re-election rates in comparable districts. A major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,844終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent John Rutherford maintains a commanding lead in Florida's 5th congressional district due to the area's strong Republican tilt under the current map, his established name recognition, and decisive primary victory over challenger Mark Kaye. Forecasters rate the seat as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Challenger Rachel Grage, who secured her party's nomination, faces structural barriers including fundraising gaps and the district's partisan composition. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical incumbent re-election rates in comparable districts. A major scandal, health event, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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