New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by more than two to one and the seat rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Incumbent Donald Norcross secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition in June 2026, leveraging established fundraising advantages and name recognition built over five terms. Republican nominee Damon Galdo or Theodore Liddell faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, though a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,573 Vol.
$43,573 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$43,573 Vol.
$43,573 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$26,945 Vol.
94%
共和党
$16,628 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by more than two to one and the seat rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Incumbent Donald Norcross secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition in June 2026, leveraging established fundraising advantages and name recognition built over five terms. Republican nominee Damon Galdo or Theodore Liddell faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, though a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$43,573終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by more than two to one and the seat rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Incumbent Donald Norcross secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition in June 2026, leveraging established fundraising advantages and name recognition built over five terms. Republican nominee Damon Galdo or Theodore Liddell faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, though a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,573終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, with registered Democrats outnumbering Republicans by more than two to one and the seat rated Safe or Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Incumbent Donald Norcross secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition in June 2026, leveraging established fundraising advantages and name recognition built over five terms. Republican nominee Damon Galdo or Theodore Liddell faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently supported Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, though a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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