Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces Democrat Beth Macy in Virginia's 6th congressional district, which carries an R+12 partisan voter index and delivered a 24-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Cline secured reelection by 28 points that cycle. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent court rulings blocked mid-decade redistricting changes that could have altered boundaries, preserving the district's western Virginia composition anchored in the Shenandoah Valley. These structural factors and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum sustain trader consensus around an 85 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$83,738 Vol.
$83,738 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
13%
$83,738 Vol.
$83,738 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$29,331 Vol.
85%
民主党
$54,407 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces Democrat Beth Macy in Virginia's 6th congressional district, which carries an R+12 partisan voter index and delivered a 24-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Cline secured reelection by 28 points that cycle. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent court rulings blocked mid-decade redistricting changes that could have altered boundaries, preserving the district's western Virginia composition anchored in the Shenandoah Valley. These structural factors and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum sustain trader consensus around an 85 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$83,738終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces Democrat Beth Macy in Virginia's 6th congressional district, which carries an R+12 partisan voter index and delivered a 24-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Cline secured reelection by 28 points that cycle. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent court rulings blocked mid-decade redistricting changes that could have altered boundaries, preserving the district's western Virginia composition anchored in the Shenandoah Valley. These structural factors and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum sustain trader consensus around an 85 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$83,738終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ben Cline faces Democrat Beth Macy in Virginia's 6th congressional district, which carries an R+12 partisan voter index and delivered a 24-point margin for the Republican presidential candidate in 2024. Cline secured reelection by 28 points that cycle. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Recent court rulings blocked mid-decade redistricting changes that could have altered boundaries, preserving the district's western Virginia composition anchored in the Shenandoah Valley. These structural factors and the absence of competitive Democratic momentum sustain trader consensus around an 85 percent probability for the Republican nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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