Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th Congressional District for the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior 64% victory margin. The U.S. Supreme Court’s March 2026 stay preserved the existing district lines encompassing Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, blocking Democratic-backed redistricting efforts that lower courts had advanced. This maintains structural advantages for the GOP nominee ahead of the June 23 primaries. Democratic contenders, including Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas, face an uphill path in a working-class district that has trended rightward in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these institutional and electoral fundamentals, tempered by the possibility of late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,726 Vol.
$14,726 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
11%
$14,726 Vol.
$14,726 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,193 Vol.
88%
民主党
$6,532 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th Congressional District for the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior 64% victory margin. The U.S. Supreme Court’s March 2026 stay preserved the existing district lines encompassing Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, blocking Democratic-backed redistricting efforts that lower courts had advanced. This maintains structural advantages for the GOP nominee ahead of the June 23 primaries. Democratic contenders, including Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas, face an uphill path in a working-class district that has trended rightward in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these institutional and electoral fundamentals, tempered by the possibility of late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$14,726終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th Congressional District for the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior 64% victory margin. The U.S. Supreme Court’s March 2026 stay preserved the existing district lines encompassing Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, blocking Democratic-backed redistricting efforts that lower courts had advanced. This maintains structural advantages for the GOP nominee ahead of the June 23 primaries. Democratic contenders, including Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas, face an uphill path in a working-class district that has trended rightward in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these institutional and electoral fundamentals, tempered by the possibility of late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,726終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a strong position in New York’s 11th Congressional District for the 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican lean and her prior 64% victory margin. The U.S. Supreme Court’s March 2026 stay preserved the existing district lines encompassing Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, blocking Democratic-backed redistricting efforts that lower courts had advanced. This maintains structural advantages for the GOP nominee ahead of the June 23 primaries. Democratic contenders, including Michael DeCillis and Allison Ziogas, face an uphill path in a working-class district that has trended rightward in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with these institutional and electoral fundamentals, tempered by the possibility of late-cycle shifts in turnout or national conditions before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問