Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan's 9th congressional district, where trader consensus reflects the seat's established Republican tilt and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. The district spans The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs across Macomb, Oakland, and surrounding counties, areas that have delivered consistent GOP majorities in recent cycles. With primaries scheduled for August 4 and the general election on November 3, 2026, limited Democratic opposition and nonpartisan forecasts rating the race Solid or Safe Republican reinforce the current pricing. Late shifts in national conditions, unusually high turnout among opposing voters, or primary surprises could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,175 Vol.
$10,175 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
$10,175 Vol.
$10,175 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,913 Vol.
91%
民主党
$1,262 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan's 9th congressional district, where trader consensus reflects the seat's established Republican tilt and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. The district spans The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs across Macomb, Oakland, and surrounding counties, areas that have delivered consistent GOP majorities in recent cycles. With primaries scheduled for August 4 and the general election on November 3, 2026, limited Democratic opposition and nonpartisan forecasts rating the race Solid or Safe Republican reinforce the current pricing. Late shifts in national conditions, unusually high turnout among opposing voters, or primary surprises could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$10,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan's 9th congressional district, where trader consensus reflects the seat's established Republican tilt and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. The district spans The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs across Macomb, Oakland, and surrounding counties, areas that have delivered consistent GOP majorities in recent cycles. With primaries scheduled for August 4 and the general election on November 3, 2026, limited Democratic opposition and nonpartisan forecasts rating the race Solid or Safe Republican reinforce the current pricing. Late shifts in national conditions, unusually high turnout among opposing voters, or primary surprises could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan's 9th congressional district, where trader consensus reflects the seat's established Republican tilt and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points. The district spans The Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs across Macomb, Oakland, and surrounding counties, areas that have delivered consistent GOP majorities in recent cycles. With primaries scheduled for August 4 and the general election on November 3, 2026, limited Democratic opposition and nonpartisan forecasts rating the race Solid or Safe Republican reinforce the current pricing. Late shifts in national conditions, unusually high turnout among opposing voters, or primary surprises could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the incumbent party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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