Michigan's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 66.8% share in 2024. Republican Lisa McClain, seeking re-election, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrat Ray Pooley advances unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, underscoring structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and geographic makeup across the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually large national midterm swing could narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,898 Vol.
$11,898 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$11,898 Vol.
$11,898 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,928 Vol.
91%
民主党
$2,970 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 66.8% share in 2024. Republican Lisa McClain, seeking re-election, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrat Ray Pooley advances unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, underscoring structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and geographic makeup across the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually large national midterm swing could narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$11,898終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 66.8% share in 2024. Republican Lisa McClain, seeking re-election, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrat Ray Pooley advances unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, underscoring structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and geographic makeup across the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually large national midterm swing could narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,898終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 66.8% share in 2024. Republican Lisa McClain, seeking re-election, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democrat Ray Pooley advances unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, underscoring structural advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and geographic makeup across the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. Trader consensus at 91% for the Republican outcome aligns with these fundamentals, though a major scandal, health event, or unusually large national midterm swing could narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問