Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including McClain’s 66.8 percent share in 2024, underpin the market’s strong Republican tilt. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. McClain faces limited primary opposition on August 4, while the Democratic primary features Ray Pooley as the leading candidate. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing in this heavily Republican-leaning area of the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. Late developments such as a major national political shift or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such outcomes remain remote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,898 Vol.
$11,898 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$11,898 Vol.
$11,898 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,928 Vol.
91%
民主党
$2,970 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including McClain’s 66.8 percent share in 2024, underpin the market’s strong Republican tilt. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. McClain faces limited primary opposition on August 4, while the Democratic primary features Ray Pooley as the leading candidate. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing in this heavily Republican-leaning area of the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. Late developments such as a major national political shift or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such outcomes remain remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$11,898終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including McClain’s 66.8 percent share in 2024, underpin the market’s strong Republican tilt. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. McClain faces limited primary opposition on August 4, while the Democratic primary features Ray Pooley as the leading candidate. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing in this heavily Republican-leaning area of the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. Late developments such as a major national political shift or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such outcomes remain remote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,898終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including McClain’s 66.8 percent share in 2024, underpin the market’s strong Republican tilt. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. McClain faces limited primary opposition on August 4, while the Democratic primary features Ray Pooley as the leading candidate. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing in this heavily Republican-leaning area of the Thumb region and northern Detroit exurbs. Late developments such as a major national political shift or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such outcomes remain remote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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