Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain secured her party's nomination unopposed in the August 4, 2026 primary for Michigan's 9th congressional district, while Democrat Ray Pooley advanced similarly on his side. The district, covering The Thumb region and parts of Macomb and Oakland counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and receives "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. McClain's leadership role as House Republican Conference chair and consistent fundraising further reinforce the position. With the general election on November 3, 2026, trader consensus reflects the district's structural Republican advantage and absence of credible Democratic opposition. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,591 Vol.
$23,591 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
6%
$23,591 Vol.
$23,591 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$17,039 Vol.
92%
民主党
$6,552 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain secured her party's nomination unopposed in the August 4, 2026 primary for Michigan's 9th congressional district, while Democrat Ray Pooley advanced similarly on his side. The district, covering The Thumb region and parts of Macomb and Oakland counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and receives "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. McClain's leadership role as House Republican Conference chair and consistent fundraising further reinforce the position. With the general election on November 3, 2026, trader consensus reflects the district's structural Republican advantage and absence of credible Democratic opposition. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$23,591終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain secured her party's nomination unopposed in the August 4, 2026 primary for Michigan's 9th congressional district, while Democrat Ray Pooley advanced similarly on his side. The district, covering The Thumb region and parts of Macomb and Oakland counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and receives "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. McClain's leadership role as House Republican Conference chair and consistent fundraising further reinforce the position. With the general election on November 3, 2026, trader consensus reflects the district's structural Republican advantage and absence of credible Democratic opposition. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,591終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain secured her party's nomination unopposed in the August 4, 2026 primary for Michigan's 9th congressional district, while Democrat Ray Pooley advanced similarly on his side. The district, covering The Thumb region and parts of Macomb and Oakland counties, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16 and receives "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. McClain's leadership role as House Republican Conference chair and consistent fundraising further reinforce the position. With the general election on November 3, 2026, trader consensus reflects the district's structural Republican advantage and absence of credible Democratic opposition. A late scandal, health event, or unexpected national wave could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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