Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd congressional district race, reflected in the market’s heavy Democratic favoritism. The district’s D+20 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Neguse’s 68 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus. Neguse faces no Democratic primary opposition ahead of the June 30 contest, while Republicans field lesser-known challengers in a solidly left-leaning area encompassing Boulder and Fort Collins. Independent race ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. A major national political shift, late scandal, or unusually strong Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and incumbency advantages make such outcomes unlikely before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,967 Vol.
$30,967 Vol.
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$30,967 Vol.
$30,967 Vol.
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado’s 2nd congressional district race, reflected in the market’s heavy Democratic favoritism. The district’s D+20 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Neguse’s 68 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus. Neguse faces no Democratic primary opposition ahead of the June 30 contest, while Republicans field lesser-known challengers in a solidly left-leaning area encompassing Boulder and Fort Collins. Independent race ratings classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. A major national political shift, late scandal, or unusually strong Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and incumbency advantages make such outcomes unlikely before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問