Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado's 6th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Crow secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 30 primary, while Republican nominee Jason Clark advanced unopposed, limiting early campaign visibility. Strong fundraising by the incumbent and suburban voter patterns in the Aurora-centered district further reinforce trader consensus. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout surges could still alter outcomes, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,895 Vol.
$27,895 Vol.
ジェイソン・クロウ(民主党)
95%
ジェイソン・クラーク(共和党)
6%
$27,895 Vol.
$27,895 Vol.
ジェイソン・クロウ(民主党)
95%
ジェイソン・クラーク(共和党)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow holds a commanding position in Colorado's 6th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and prior election margins exceeding 20 points. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Crow secured his party's nomination without opposition in the June 30 primary, while Republican nominee Jason Clark advanced unopposed, limiting early campaign visibility. Strong fundraising by the incumbent and suburban voter patterns in the Aurora-centered district further reinforce trader consensus. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, candidate health issues, or turnout surges could still alter outcomes, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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