Georgia's 4th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat anchored in Atlanta's southeastern suburbs, including strongholds in DeKalb County. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The district's consistent partisan lean, evidenced by Johnson's 75.6% margin in 2024, combined with low Republican fundraising and minimal national attention, underpins trader consensus around Democratic control. Independent ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make such shifts improbable before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,482 Vol.
$42,482 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$42,482 Vol.
$42,482 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$26,263 Vol.
95%
共和党
$16,219 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat anchored in Atlanta's southeastern suburbs, including strongholds in DeKalb County. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The district's consistent partisan lean, evidenced by Johnson's 75.6% margin in 2024, combined with low Republican fundraising and minimal national attention, underpins trader consensus around Democratic control. Independent ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make such shifts improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$42,482終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat anchored in Atlanta's southeastern suburbs, including strongholds in DeKalb County. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The district's consistent partisan lean, evidenced by Johnson's 75.6% margin in 2024, combined with low Republican fundraising and minimal national attention, underpins trader consensus around Democratic control. Independent ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make such shifts improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,482終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic seat anchored in Atlanta's southeastern suburbs, including strongholds in DeKalb County. Incumbent Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The district's consistent partisan lean, evidenced by Johnson's 75.6% margin in 2024, combined with low Republican fundraising and minimal national attention, underpins trader consensus around Democratic control. Independent ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure make such shifts improbable before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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