Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+27 partisan voter index and consistent ratings as a Solid Democratic seat by nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent of the primary vote in May 2026 and will face Republican nominee James Duffie in the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles and the absence of significant shifts in candidate positioning or external events, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could alter the current positioning include an unexpected national political realignment, major candidate withdrawal, or late-cycle developments that substantially change turnout dynamics in this Atlanta-area district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,787 Vol.
$36,787 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$36,787 Vol.
$36,787 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$21,456 Vol.
95%
共和党
$15,331 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+27 partisan voter index and consistent ratings as a Solid Democratic seat by nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent of the primary vote in May 2026 and will face Republican nominee James Duffie in the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles and the absence of significant shifts in candidate positioning or external events, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could alter the current positioning include an unexpected national political realignment, major candidate withdrawal, or late-cycle developments that substantially change turnout dynamics in this Atlanta-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$36,787終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+27 partisan voter index and consistent ratings as a Solid Democratic seat by nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent of the primary vote in May 2026 and will face Republican nominee James Duffie in the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles and the absence of significant shifts in candidate positioning or external events, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could alter the current positioning include an unexpected national political realignment, major candidate withdrawal, or late-cycle developments that substantially change turnout dynamics in this Atlanta-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,787終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+27 partisan voter index and consistent ratings as a Solid Democratic seat by nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Hank Johnson secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent of the primary vote in May 2026 and will face Republican nominee James Duffie in the November general election. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles and the absence of significant shifts in candidate positioning or external events, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Scenarios that could alter the current positioning include an unexpected national political realignment, major candidate withdrawal, or late-cycle developments that substantially change turnout dynamics in this Atlanta-area district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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