Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a strong position as the frontrunner in the November 28, 2026, Keelung mayoral race, reflected in the market's 85.5% implied probability. Keelung's historical KMT lean, combined with Hsieh's 2022 victory and survival of an October 2024 recall vote, underpins trader consensus despite earlier approval challenges. DPP nominee and city council speaker Tung Tzu-wei, nominated in late 2025, narrowed the gap in July 2026 internal polling to within the margin of error amid city controversies over governance issues, yet remains at 10.5%. Analysts rate the contest as leaning KMT, with limited recent catalysts shifting the balance ahead of candidate registration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2027/06/30
謝国樑
86%
トン・ズーウェイ
11%
新規
新規
2027/06/30
謝国樑
$1,127 Vol.
86%
トン・ズーウェイ
$656 Vol.
11%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a strong position as the frontrunner in the November 28, 2026, Keelung mayoral race, reflected in the market's 85.5% implied probability. Keelung's historical KMT lean, combined with Hsieh's 2022 victory and survival of an October 2024 recall vote, underpins trader consensus despite earlier approval challenges. DPP nominee and city council speaker Tung Tzu-wei, nominated in late 2025, narrowed the gap in July 2026 internal polling to within the margin of error amid city controversies over governance issues, yet remains at 10.5%. Analysts rate the contest as leaning KMT, with limited recent catalysts shifting the balance ahead of candidate registration.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
音量
$1,783終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a strong position as the frontrunner in the November 28, 2026, Keelung mayoral race, reflected in the market's 85.5% implied probability. Keelung's historical KMT lean, combined with Hsieh's 2022 victory and survival of an October 2024 recall vote, underpins trader consensus despite earlier approval challenges. DPP nominee and city council speaker Tung Tzu-wei, nominated in late 2025, narrowed the gap in July 2026 internal polling to within the margin of error amid city controversies over governance issues, yet remains at 10.5%. Analysts rate the contest as leaning KMT, with limited recent catalysts shifting the balance ahead of candidate registration.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$1,783終了日
2026/11/28マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent KMT mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds a strong position as the frontrunner in the November 28, 2026, Keelung mayoral race, reflected in the market's 85.5% implied probability. Keelung's historical KMT lean, combined with Hsieh's 2022 victory and survival of an October 2024 recall vote, underpins trader consensus despite earlier approval challenges. DPP nominee and city council speaker Tung Tzu-wei, nominated in late 2025, narrowed the gap in July 2026 internal polling to within the margin of error amid city controversies over governance issues, yet remains at 10.5%. Analysts rate the contest as leaning KMT, with limited recent catalysts shifting the balance ahead of candidate registration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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