Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5 election, leaving second and third place tightly contested among the CAQ, PLQ, and PCQ. Regional fragmentation, including a competitive three-way race in the Quebec City area and strong PLQ support among anglophones and allophones, sustains volatility in lower rankings. The CAQ’s incumbency edge and recent modest gains, combined with PCQ momentum in certain ridings and PLQ consolidation outside francophone areas, keep third-place probabilities closely matched. Late-campaign developments such as turnout shifts, debate performances, or targeted regional messaging could separate the contenders before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日CAQ 43%
PCQ 40%
PLQ 37%
PQ 25%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
CAQ
43%
PCQ
40%
PLQ
37%
PQ
25%
QS
17%
PVQ
3%
CAQ 43%
PCQ 40%
PLQ 37%
PQ 25%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
CAQ
$0 Vol.
43%
PCQ
$0 Vol.
40%
PLQ
$0 Vol.
37%
PQ
$0 Vol.
25%
QS
$61 Vol.
17%
PVQ
$167 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5 election, leaving second and third place tightly contested among the CAQ, PLQ, and PCQ. Regional fragmentation, including a competitive three-way race in the Quebec City area and strong PLQ support among anglophones and allophones, sustains volatility in lower rankings. The CAQ’s incumbency edge and recent modest gains, combined with PCQ momentum in certain ridings and PLQ consolidation outside francophone areas, keep third-place probabilities closely matched. Late-campaign developments such as turnout shifts, debate performances, or targeted regional messaging could separate the contenders before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
音量
$228終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5 election, leaving second and third place tightly contested among the CAQ, PLQ, and PCQ. Regional fragmentation, including a competitive three-way race in the Quebec City area and strong PLQ support among anglophones and allophones, sustains volatility in lower rankings. The CAQ’s incumbency edge and recent modest gains, combined with PCQ momentum in certain ridings and PLQ consolidation outside francophone areas, keep third-place probabilities closely matched. Late-campaign developments such as turnout shifts, debate performances, or targeted regional messaging could separate the contenders before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$228終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead in popular vote intentions ahead of the October 5 election, leaving second and third place tightly contested among the CAQ, PLQ, and PCQ. Regional fragmentation, including a competitive three-way race in the Quebec City area and strong PLQ support among anglophones and allophones, sustains volatility in lower rankings. The CAQ’s incumbency edge and recent modest gains, combined with PCQ momentum in certain ridings and PLQ consolidation outside francophone areas, keep third-place probabilities closely matched. Late-campaign developments such as turnout shifts, debate performances, or targeted regional messaging could separate the contenders before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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