Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 30 percent, while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec have tightened into a virtual tie around 23 percent in late August surveys, with the Conservatives also advancing. This fragmentation of the non-sovereignist vote, combined with regional divides—PLQ strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal versus CAQ and PCQ gains among francophones elsewhere—has kept the contest for second place highly competitive. Seat projections reflect this uncertainty, with PLQ favored for official opposition status but CAQ retaining an outside path through stronger performance in close ridings. The official campaign launch and any late shifts in voter consolidation ahead of the October 5 vote could further separate the contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PLQ 47%
PVQ 43%
CAQ 28%
PQ 27%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
PLQ
47%
PVQ
43%
CAQ
28%
PQ
27%
QS
27%
PCQ
26%
PLQ 47%
PVQ 43%
CAQ 28%
PQ 27%
新規
新規
2026/10/04
PLQ
$0 Vol.
47%
PVQ
$0 Vol.
43%
CAQ
$0 Vol.
28%
PQ
$0 Vol.
27%
QS
$0 Vol.
27%
PCQ
$0 Vol.
26%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 30 percent, while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec have tightened into a virtual tie around 23 percent in late August surveys, with the Conservatives also advancing. This fragmentation of the non-sovereignist vote, combined with regional divides—PLQ strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal versus CAQ and PCQ gains among francophones elsewhere—has kept the contest for second place highly competitive. Seat projections reflect this uncertainty, with PLQ favored for official opposition status but CAQ retaining an outside path through stronger performance in close ridings. The official campaign launch and any late shifts in voter consolidation ahead of the October 5 vote could further separate the contenders.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 30 percent, while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec have tightened into a virtual tie around 23 percent in late August surveys, with the Conservatives also advancing. This fragmentation of the non-sovereignist vote, combined with regional divides—PLQ strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal versus CAQ and PCQ gains among francophones elsewhere—has kept the contest for second place highly competitive. Seat projections reflect this uncertainty, with PLQ favored for official opposition status but CAQ retaining an outside path through stronger performance in close ridings. The official campaign launch and any late shifts in voter consolidation ahead of the October 5 vote could further separate the contenders.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$0終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a lead near 30 percent, while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec have tightened into a virtual tie around 23 percent in late August surveys, with the Conservatives also advancing. This fragmentation of the non-sovereignist vote, combined with regional divides—PLQ strength among anglophones and allophones in Montreal versus CAQ and PCQ gains among francophones elsewhere—has kept the contest for second place highly competitive. Seat projections reflect this uncertainty, with PLQ favored for official opposition status but CAQ retaining an outside path through stronger performance in close ridings. The official campaign launch and any late shifts in voter consolidation ahead of the October 5 vote could further separate the contenders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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