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icon for 台南市長選挙優勝者

台南市長選挙優勝者

icon for 台南市長選挙優勝者

台南市長選挙優勝者

陳亭妃 85%

謝龍介 12%

林義豊 1.1%

林俊憲 <1%

Polymarket
新規

陳亭妃 85%

謝龍介 12%

林義豊 1.1%

林俊憲 <1%

Polymarket
新規
icon for 陳亭妃

陳亭妃

$2,242 Vol.

85%

icon for 謝龍介

謝龍介

$373 Vol.

12%

icon for 林義豊

林義豊

$133 Vol.

1%

icon for 林俊憲

林俊憲

$114 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Tainan mayor after defeating Lin Chun-hsien in the January 2026 primary, positioning her as the frontrunner in the November 28 local election. As the incumbent party's candidate in a longtime DPP stronghold, her selection consolidated support ahead of the general contest against Kuomintang legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh. A March 2026 poll showed Chen leading Hsieh by roughly five points, underscoring her advantage in voter preference surveys. Market pricing reflects this structural edge, with traders assigning Chen the highest implied probability while assigning far lower odds to Hsieh and other listed contenders. The race remains subject to shifts from campaign developments or turnout patterns before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$2,861
終了日
2026/11/28
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Ting-fei secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Tainan mayor after defeating Lin Chun-hsien in the January 2026 primary, positioning her as the frontrunner in the November 28 local election. As the incumbent party's candidate in a longtime DPP stronghold, her selection consolidated support ahead of the general contest against Kuomintang legislator Hsieh Lung-chieh. A March 2026 poll showed Chen leading Hsieh by roughly five points, underscoring her advantage in voter preference surveys. Market pricing reflects this structural edge, with traders assigning Chen the highest implied probability while assigning far lower odds to Hsieh and other listed contenders. The race remains subject to shifts from campaign developments or turnout patterns before election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
音量
$2,861
終了日
2026/11/28
マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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よくある質問

「台南市長選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「陳亭妃」で85%、次いで「謝龍介」が12%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、85¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に85%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「台南市長選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「台南市長選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「台南市長選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「陳亭妃」で85%であり、市場がこの結果に85%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「謝龍介」で12%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「台南市長選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。