Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the NJ-11 race after winning the April 2026 special election with 60 percent of the vote to fill the seat vacated by Mikie Sherrill. The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by Mejia's comfortable June 2026 primary victory, underpins the 94.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic winner. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require either an unusually large national midterm shift favoring the GOP or a major local development such as a significant scandal or health issue involving Mejia that alters voter sentiment before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,527 Vol.
$39,527 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$39,527 Vol.
$39,527 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$23,573 Vol.
95%
共和党
$15,955 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the NJ-11 race after winning the April 2026 special election with 60 percent of the vote to fill the seat vacated by Mikie Sherrill. The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by Mejia's comfortable June 2026 primary victory, underpins the 94.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic winner. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require either an unusually large national midterm shift favoring the GOP or a major local development such as a significant scandal or health issue involving Mejia that alters voter sentiment before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$39,527終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the NJ-11 race after winning the April 2026 special election with 60 percent of the vote to fill the seat vacated by Mikie Sherrill. The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by Mejia's comfortable June 2026 primary victory, underpins the 94.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic winner. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require either an unusually large national midterm shift favoring the GOP or a major local development such as a significant scandal or health issue involving Mejia that alters voter sentiment before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,527終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the NJ-11 race after winning the April 2026 special election with 60 percent of the vote to fill the seat vacated by Mikie Sherrill. The district's strong Democratic lean, reinforced by Mejia's comfortable June 2026 primary victory, underpins the 94.5 percent trader consensus for a Democratic winner. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democratic. A Republican victory would require either an unusually large national midterm shift favoring the GOP or a major local development such as a significant scandal or health issue involving Mejia that alters voter sentiment before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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