The recent Republican primary upset on August 6, where former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles, has clarified the general election matchup in Tennessee's 5th district against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder. Redistricting has produced a solidly Republican-leaning seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, limiting Democratic prospects despite a competitive primary field. With the November 3 general election still three months away and no major polling shifts or late developments reported, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 89% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical performance in similar districts and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Independent candidates remain on the ballot but show negligible support in available data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$48,747 Vol.
$48,747 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
89%
民主党
8%
$48,747 Vol.
$48,747 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$24,116 Vol.
89%
民主党
$24,631 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The recent Republican primary upset on August 6, where former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles, has clarified the general election matchup in Tennessee's 5th district against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder. Redistricting has produced a solidly Republican-leaning seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, limiting Democratic prospects despite a competitive primary field. With the November 3 general election still three months away and no major polling shifts or late developments reported, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 89% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical performance in similar districts and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Independent candidates remain on the ballot but show negligible support in available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$48,747終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The recent Republican primary upset on August 6, where former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles, has clarified the general election matchup in Tennessee's 5th district against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder. Redistricting has produced a solidly Republican-leaning seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, limiting Democratic prospects despite a competitive primary field. With the November 3 general election still three months away and no major polling shifts or late developments reported, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 89% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical performance in similar districts and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Independent candidates remain on the ballot but show negligible support in available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$48,747終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The recent Republican primary upset on August 6, where former Agriculture Commissioner Charlie Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles, has clarified the general election matchup in Tennessee's 5th district against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder. Redistricting has produced a solidly Republican-leaning seat with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 10 points, limiting Democratic prospects despite a competitive primary field. With the November 3 general election still three months away and no major polling shifts or late developments reported, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 89% implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with historical performance in similar districts and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Independent candidates remain on the ballot but show negligible support in available data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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