Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in the 2025 special election following her father's death, benefits from the district's majority-Hispanic composition, Democratic voter registration edge, and border-region dynamics that have favored the party in recent cycles. With primaries scheduled for July 21, 2026, and the general election on November 3, the Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic margins historically. A major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could alter the outlook, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,301 Vol.
$10,301 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$10,301 Vol.
$10,301 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,996 Vol.
93%
共和党
$6,305 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in the 2025 special election following her father's death, benefits from the district's majority-Hispanic composition, Democratic voter registration edge, and border-region dynamics that have favored the party in recent cycles. With primaries scheduled for July 21, 2026, and the general election on November 3, the Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic margins historically. A major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could alter the outlook, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$10,301終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in the 2025 special election following her father's death, benefits from the district's majority-Hispanic composition, Democratic voter registration edge, and border-region dynamics that have favored the party in recent cycles. With primaries scheduled for July 21, 2026, and the general election on November 3, the Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic margins historically. A major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could alter the outlook, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,301終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+13 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in the 2025 special election following her father's death, benefits from the district's majority-Hispanic composition, Democratic voter registration edge, and border-region dynamics that have favored the party in recent cycles. With primaries scheduled for July 21, 2026, and the general election on November 3, the Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic margins historically. A major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could alter the outlook, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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