Florida's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting that shifted its partisan balance toward Republicans, with analysts at the Cook Political Report assigning a Likely Republican rating and an R+8 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 with 55.1% and outperformed the presidential ticket in the prior lines, faces a more challenging path in the revised boundaries covering parts of Osceola County and south Orlando. Multiple Republicans have filed for the August 18 primary, including Thomas Chalifoux and Justin Story, while Soto runs unopposed on the Democratic side ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural changes and the compressed timeline to primaries have shaped trader consensus around Republican advantages in this competitive Sun Belt seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
63%
民主党
33%
$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,113 Vol.
63%
民主党
$5,227 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting that shifted its partisan balance toward Republicans, with analysts at the Cook Political Report assigning a Likely Republican rating and an R+8 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 with 55.1% and outperformed the presidential ticket in the prior lines, faces a more challenging path in the revised boundaries covering parts of Osceola County and south Orlando. Multiple Republicans have filed for the August 18 primary, including Thomas Chalifoux and Justin Story, while Soto runs unopposed on the Democratic side ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural changes and the compressed timeline to primaries have shaped trader consensus around Republican advantages in this competitive Sun Belt seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$13,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting that shifted its partisan balance toward Republicans, with analysts at the Cook Political Report assigning a Likely Republican rating and an R+8 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 with 55.1% and outperformed the presidential ticket in the prior lines, faces a more challenging path in the revised boundaries covering parts of Osceola County and south Orlando. Multiple Republicans have filed for the August 18 primary, including Thomas Chalifoux and Justin Story, while Soto runs unopposed on the Democratic side ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural changes and the compressed timeline to primaries have shaped trader consensus around Republican advantages in this competitive Sun Belt seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting that shifted its partisan balance toward Republicans, with analysts at the Cook Political Report assigning a Likely Republican rating and an R+8 partisan voting index. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, who won reelection in 2024 with 55.1% and outperformed the presidential ticket in the prior lines, faces a more challenging path in the revised boundaries covering parts of Osceola County and south Orlando. Multiple Republicans have filed for the August 18 primary, including Thomas Chalifoux and Justin Story, while Soto runs unopposed on the Democratic side ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural changes and the compressed timeline to primaries have shaped trader consensus around Republican advantages in this competitive Sun Belt seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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