Florida's 9th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers including Thomas Chalifoux ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting post-2024 redistricting that produced a more GOP-leaning map statewide and shifted this district's partisan voting index to favor Republicans by roughly eight points. Soto outperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee in the prior lines, yet the new boundaries and broader midterm dynamics position the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
64%
民主党
33%
$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,113 Vol.
64%
民主党
$5,227 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers including Thomas Chalifoux ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting post-2024 redistricting that produced a more GOP-leaning map statewide and shifted this district's partisan voting index to favor Republicans by roughly eight points. Soto outperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee in the prior lines, yet the new boundaries and broader midterm dynamics position the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$13,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers including Thomas Chalifoux ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting post-2024 redistricting that produced a more GOP-leaning map statewide and shifted this district's partisan voting index to favor Republicans by roughly eight points. Soto outperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee in the prior lines, yet the new boundaries and broader midterm dynamics position the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th congressional district features Democratic incumbent Darren Soto seeking re-election against a field of Republican primary challengers including Thomas Chalifoux ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting post-2024 redistricting that produced a more GOP-leaning map statewide and shifted this district's partisan voting index to favor Republicans by roughly eight points. Soto outperformed the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee in the prior lines, yet the new boundaries and broader midterm dynamics position the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in trader assessments of the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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