Redistricting under the new Florida congressional map has shifted FL-09 toward a Republican lean, with 2024 presidential voting showing strong GOP performance in the reconfigured boundaries. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto remains the Democratic nominee and previously outperformed the top of the ticket, yet analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates have entered the primary, underscoring the district’s altered partisan voting index and contributing to trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at current market prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
56%
民主党
32%
$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,113 Vol.
56%
民主党
$5,227 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under the new Florida congressional map has shifted FL-09 toward a Republican lean, with 2024 presidential voting showing strong GOP performance in the reconfigured boundaries. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto remains the Democratic nominee and previously outperformed the top of the ticket, yet analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates have entered the primary, underscoring the district’s altered partisan voting index and contributing to trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at current market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$13,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under the new Florida congressional map has shifted FL-09 toward a Republican lean, with 2024 presidential voting showing strong GOP performance in the reconfigured boundaries. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto remains the Democratic nominee and previously outperformed the top of the ticket, yet analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates have entered the primary, underscoring the district’s altered partisan voting index and contributing to trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at current market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under the new Florida congressional map has shifted FL-09 toward a Republican lean, with 2024 presidential voting showing strong GOP performance in the reconfigured boundaries. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto remains the Democratic nominee and previously outperformed the top of the ticket, yet analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Likely Republican ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates have entered the primary, underscoring the district’s altered partisan voting index and contributing to trader consensus favoring a Republican victory at current market prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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