Redistricting enacted by Florida lawmakers in May 2026 and upheld by a court ruling has shifted the partisan balance of the 9th congressional district toward Republicans, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto remains the Democratic nominee ahead of the August primary, yet recent voting patterns show stronger Republican performance across the reconfigured boundaries. Multiple Republican candidates have filed for the August 18 primary, increasing the party's options for the November general election. Traders have incorporated these structural changes into current pricing, reflecting the district's altered electoral math and the limited time remaining before the filing deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
57%
民主党
39%
$13,339 Vol.
$13,339 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,113 Vol.
57%
民主党
$5,227 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted by Florida lawmakers in May 2026 and upheld by a court ruling has shifted the partisan balance of the 9th congressional district toward Republicans, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto remains the Democratic nominee ahead of the August primary, yet recent voting patterns show stronger Republican performance across the reconfigured boundaries. Multiple Republican candidates have filed for the August 18 primary, increasing the party's options for the November general election. Traders have incorporated these structural changes into current pricing, reflecting the district's altered electoral math and the limited time remaining before the filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$13,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted by Florida lawmakers in May 2026 and upheld by a court ruling has shifted the partisan balance of the 9th congressional district toward Republicans, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto remains the Democratic nominee ahead of the August primary, yet recent voting patterns show stronger Republican performance across the reconfigured boundaries. Multiple Republican candidates have filed for the August 18 primary, increasing the party's options for the November general election. Traders have incorporated these structural changes into current pricing, reflecting the district's altered electoral math and the limited time remaining before the filing deadline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,339終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting enacted by Florida lawmakers in May 2026 and upheld by a court ruling has shifted the partisan balance of the 9th congressional district toward Republicans, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and prompting nonpartisan forecasters to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto remains the Democratic nominee ahead of the August primary, yet recent voting patterns show stronger Republican performance across the reconfigured boundaries. Multiple Republican candidates have filed for the August 18 primary, increasing the party's options for the November general election. Traders have incorporated these structural changes into current pricing, reflecting the district's altered electoral math and the limited time remaining before the filing deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問