Redistricting approved in 2025 shifted Texas’s 9th Congressional District from a long-time Democratic stronghold to a Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Harris County suburbs and parts of Liberty County. The change removed incumbent Democrat Al Green and produced a district where recent presidential and statewide Republican candidates have posted double-digit margins. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 runoff with strong fundraising and endorsements, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez won her primary. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the 86% implied probability traders assign the Republican nominee. No major developments have altered that positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,681 Vol.
$17,681 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
86%
民主党
15%
$17,681 Vol.
$17,681 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$13,313 Vol.
86%
民主党
$4,368 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in 2025 shifted Texas’s 9th Congressional District from a long-time Democratic stronghold to a Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Harris County suburbs and parts of Liberty County. The change removed incumbent Democrat Al Green and produced a district where recent presidential and statewide Republican candidates have posted double-digit margins. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 runoff with strong fundraising and endorsements, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez won her primary. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the 86% implied probability traders assign the Republican nominee. No major developments have altered that positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
音量
$17,681終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in 2025 shifted Texas’s 9th Congressional District from a long-time Democratic stronghold to a Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Harris County suburbs and parts of Liberty County. The change removed incumbent Democrat Al Green and produced a district where recent presidential and statewide Republican candidates have posted double-digit margins. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 runoff with strong fundraising and endorsements, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez won her primary. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the 86% implied probability traders assign the Republican nominee. No major developments have altered that positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,681終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved in 2025 shifted Texas’s 9th Congressional District from a long-time Democratic stronghold to a Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Harris County suburbs and parts of Liberty County. The change removed incumbent Democrat Al Green and produced a district where recent presidential and statewide Republican candidates have posted double-digit margins. Alex Mealer secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 runoff with strong fundraising and endorsements, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez won her primary. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as solid or safe Republican, aligning with the 86% implied probability traders assign the Republican nominee. No major developments have altered that positioning in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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