Yvette Clarke's status as the entrenched Democratic incumbent in New York's 9th congressional district underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The Brooklyn-based seat features a heavily Democratic electorate, reinforced by Clarke's consistent primary performance and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, no significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting changes have altered the baseline. Traders price in historical patterns where similar safe Democratic districts rarely flip absent extraordinary circumstances. A national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,755 Vol.
$43,755 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$43,755 Vol.
$43,755 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$19,282 Vol.
95%
共和党
$24,474 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's status as the entrenched Democratic incumbent in New York's 9th congressional district underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The Brooklyn-based seat features a heavily Democratic electorate, reinforced by Clarke's consistent primary performance and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, no significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting changes have altered the baseline. Traders price in historical patterns where similar safe Democratic districts rarely flip absent extraordinary circumstances. A national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$43,755終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's status as the entrenched Democratic incumbent in New York's 9th congressional district underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The Brooklyn-based seat features a heavily Democratic electorate, reinforced by Clarke's consistent primary performance and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, no significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting changes have altered the baseline. Traders price in historical patterns where similar safe Democratic districts rarely flip absent extraordinary circumstances. A national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,755終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yvette Clarke's status as the entrenched Democratic incumbent in New York's 9th congressional district underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The Brooklyn-based seat features a heavily Democratic electorate, reinforced by Clarke's consistent primary performance and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, no significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting changes have altered the baseline. Traders price in historical patterns where similar safe Democratic districts rarely flip absent extraordinary circumstances. A national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability events based on current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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