North Dakota’s solidly Republican electorate and the incumbent’s strong primary performance underpin the 95% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the state’s at-large House contest. Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating an intra-party challenger with roughly 73% of the vote, setting up a November rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated by 39 points in 2024. The state’s consistent Republican margins in federal races, combined with Fedorchak’s established name recognition and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure, reinforce the wide pricing gap. Only late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment would realistically narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,590 Vol.
$39,590 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$39,590 Vol.
$39,590 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$23,433 Vol.
95%
民主党
$16,158 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s solidly Republican electorate and the incumbent’s strong primary performance underpin the 95% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the state’s at-large House contest. Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating an intra-party challenger with roughly 73% of the vote, setting up a November rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated by 39 points in 2024. The state’s consistent Republican margins in federal races, combined with Fedorchak’s established name recognition and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure, reinforce the wide pricing gap. Only late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment would realistically narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$39,590終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s solidly Republican electorate and the incumbent’s strong primary performance underpin the 95% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the state’s at-large House contest. Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating an intra-party challenger with roughly 73% of the vote, setting up a November rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated by 39 points in 2024. The state’s consistent Republican margins in federal races, combined with Fedorchak’s established name recognition and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure, reinforce the wide pricing gap. Only late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment would realistically narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,590終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s solidly Republican electorate and the incumbent’s strong primary performance underpin the 95% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the state’s at-large House contest. Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating an intra-party challenger with roughly 73% of the vote, setting up a November rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer, whom she defeated by 39 points in 2024. The state’s consistent Republican margins in federal races, combined with Fedorchak’s established name recognition and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure, reinforce the wide pricing gap. Only late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, serious health issue affecting the incumbent, or an extraordinary national political realignment would realistically narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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