North Dakota's at-large congressional district has long favored Republicans due to its strong partisan lean, consistent voting patterns in statewide races, and the state's rural and energy-sector demographics. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the Republican nomination in the June 9, 2026, primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a wide margin. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The 95.5% Republican probability reflects these baseline factors and limited recent developments capable of shifting the race. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political realignments, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,650 Vol.
$39,650 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$39,650 Vol.
$39,650 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$23,493 Vol.
96%
民主党
$16,158 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district has long favored Republicans due to its strong partisan lean, consistent voting patterns in statewide races, and the state's rural and energy-sector demographics. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the Republican nomination in the June 9, 2026, primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a wide margin. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The 95.5% Republican probability reflects these baseline factors and limited recent developments capable of shifting the race. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political realignments, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$39,650終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional district has long favored Republicans due to its strong partisan lean, consistent voting patterns in statewide races, and the state's rural and energy-sector demographics. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the Republican nomination in the June 9, 2026, primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a wide margin. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The 95.5% Republican probability reflects these baseline factors and limited recent developments capable of shifting the race. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political realignments, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,650終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional district has long favored Republicans due to its strong partisan lean, consistent voting patterns in statewide races, and the state's rural and energy-sector demographics. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured the Republican nomination in the June 9, 2026, primary, reinforcing trader consensus around a wide margin. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The 95.5% Republican probability reflects these baseline factors and limited recent developments capable of shifting the race. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political realignments, significant candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Democratic turnout in the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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