North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state’s R+18 partisan lean, combined with incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s decisive 2024 win and her status as the clear favorite in today’s Republican primary, underpins the current pricing. The Democratic–NPL nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late developments reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen primary upset, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,243 Vol.
$39,243 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$39,243 Vol.
$39,243 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$23,342 Vol.
96%
民主党
$15,901 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state’s R+18 partisan lean, combined with incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s decisive 2024 win and her status as the clear favorite in today’s Republican primary, underpins the current pricing. The Democratic–NPL nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late developments reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen primary upset, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$39,243終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state’s R+18 partisan lean, combined with incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s decisive 2024 win and her status as the clear favorite in today’s Republican primary, underpins the current pricing. The Democratic–NPL nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late developments reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen primary upset, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,243終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus assigning the Republican nominee a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. The state’s R+18 partisan lean, combined with incumbent Julie Fedorchak’s decisive 2024 win and her status as the clear favorite in today’s Republican primary, underpins the current pricing. The Democratic–NPL nominee faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Limited polling and the absence of major late developments reinforce expectations of continuity. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong Democratic turnout surge or an unforeseen primary upset, though both remain low-probability events given historical patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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