North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to the state’s consistent partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 36-point margin in the 2024 presidential contest and Julie Fedorchak’s 39-point victory that year. Fedorchak, the incumbent, secured the GOP nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary, facing Democrat Trygve Hammer in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95% Republican reflects these structural advantages, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health crisis, or unprecedented national backlash would be required to materially shift the outcome in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,590 Vol.
$39,590 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$39,590 Vol.
$39,590 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$23,433 Vol.
95%
民主党
$16,158 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to the state’s consistent partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 36-point margin in the 2024 presidential contest and Julie Fedorchak’s 39-point victory that year. Fedorchak, the incumbent, secured the GOP nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary, facing Democrat Trygve Hammer in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95% Republican reflects these structural advantages, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health crisis, or unprecedented national backlash would be required to materially shift the outcome in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$39,590終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to the state’s consistent partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 36-point margin in the 2024 presidential contest and Julie Fedorchak’s 39-point victory that year. Fedorchak, the incumbent, secured the GOP nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary, facing Democrat Trygve Hammer in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95% Republican reflects these structural advantages, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health crisis, or unprecedented national backlash would be required to materially shift the outcome in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,590終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s at-large House seat remains a stronghold for Republican candidates due to the state’s consistent partisan lean, evidenced by Donald Trump’s 36-point margin in the 2024 presidential contest and Julie Fedorchak’s 39-point victory that year. Fedorchak, the incumbent, secured the GOP nomination in the June 9, 2026 primary, facing Democrat Trygve Hammer in the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 95% Republican reflects these structural advantages, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health crisis, or unprecedented national backlash would be required to materially shift the outcome in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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