North Dakota's at-large congressional seat remains a solidly Republican district heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Julie Fedorchak securing the GOP nomination after defeating challenger Alex Balazs by a wide margin in the June 9 primary. The state's longstanding partisan lean, demonstrated by large Republican margins in recent House contests, underpins trader consensus around the party's nominee. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout midterm environment where the seat's electoral math favors the incumbent party. While late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, historical results and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,653 Vol.
$39,653 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$39,653 Vol.
$39,653 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$23,493 Vol.
96%
民主党
$16,160 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional seat remains a solidly Republican district heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Julie Fedorchak securing the GOP nomination after defeating challenger Alex Balazs by a wide margin in the June 9 primary. The state's longstanding partisan lean, demonstrated by large Republican margins in recent House contests, underpins trader consensus around the party's nominee. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout midterm environment where the seat's electoral math favors the incumbent party. While late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, historical results and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$39,653終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota's at-large congressional seat remains a solidly Republican district heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Julie Fedorchak securing the GOP nomination after defeating challenger Alex Balazs by a wide margin in the June 9 primary. The state's longstanding partisan lean, demonstrated by large Republican margins in recent House contests, underpins trader consensus around the party's nominee. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout midterm environment where the seat's electoral math favors the incumbent party. While late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, historical results and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,653終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota's at-large congressional seat remains a solidly Republican district heading into the November 2026 general election, with incumbent Julie Fedorchak securing the GOP nomination after defeating challenger Alex Balazs by a wide margin in the June 9 primary. The state's longstanding partisan lean, demonstrated by large Republican margins in recent House contests, underpins trader consensus around the party's nominee. Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer faces structural headwinds in a low-turnout midterm environment where the seat's electoral math favors the incumbent party. While late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, historical results and the absence of competitive polling indicate limited realistic paths for an upset before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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