North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with the incumbent securing nearly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 and all major forecasters rating the 2026 contest solid or safe for the GOP. The June 9 Republican primary pits the sitting representative against a returning challenger, while the Democratic nominee is positioned for a November rematch in a state that favored the Republican presidential candidate by more than 36 points in the last cycle. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s consistent partisan baseline, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or major developments that would narrow the gap. Late-breaking factors such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,554 Vol.
$39,554 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$39,554 Vol.
$39,554 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$23,417 Vol.
95%
民主党
$16,139 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with the incumbent securing nearly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 and all major forecasters rating the 2026 contest solid or safe for the GOP. The June 9 Republican primary pits the sitting representative against a returning challenger, while the Democratic nominee is positioned for a November rematch in a state that favored the Republican presidential candidate by more than 36 points in the last cycle. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s consistent partisan baseline, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or major developments that would narrow the gap. Late-breaking factors such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$39,554終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with the incumbent securing nearly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 and all major forecasters rating the 2026 contest solid or safe for the GOP. The June 9 Republican primary pits the sitting representative against a returning challenger, while the Democratic nominee is positioned for a November rematch in a state that favored the Republican presidential candidate by more than 36 points in the last cycle. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s consistent partisan baseline, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or major developments that would narrow the gap. Late-breaking factors such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,554終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with the incumbent securing nearly 70 percent of the vote in 2024 and all major forecasters rating the 2026 contest solid or safe for the GOP. The June 9 Republican primary pits the sitting representative against a returning challenger, while the Democratic nominee is positioned for a November rematch in a state that favored the Republican presidential candidate by more than 36 points in the last cycle. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s consistent partisan baseline, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of competitive polling or major developments that would narrow the gap. Late-breaking factors such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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