North Dakota’s at-large congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the market’s 95.5% consensus for the Republican Party nominee. Incumbent Representative Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating primary challenger Alex Balazs with 73% of the vote, while Democrat Trygve Hammer advanced unopposed in his primary for a rematch of the 2024 contest. Fedorchak’s prior general-election margin exceeded 30 points in a state that consistently delivers strong Republican turnout across statewide races. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the dominant pricing incorporates the district’s partisan baseline and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,650 Vol.
$39,650 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$39,650 Vol.
$39,650 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$23,493 Vol.
96%
民主党
$16,158 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the market’s 95.5% consensus for the Republican Party nominee. Incumbent Representative Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating primary challenger Alex Balazs with 73% of the vote, while Democrat Trygve Hammer advanced unopposed in his primary for a rematch of the 2024 contest. Fedorchak’s prior general-election margin exceeded 30 points in a state that consistently delivers strong Republican turnout across statewide races. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the dominant pricing incorporates the district’s partisan baseline and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$39,650終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the market’s 95.5% consensus for the Republican Party nominee. Incumbent Representative Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating primary challenger Alex Balazs with 73% of the vote, while Democrat Trygve Hammer advanced unopposed in his primary for a rematch of the 2024 contest. Fedorchak’s prior general-election margin exceeded 30 points in a state that consistently delivers strong Republican turnout across statewide races. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the dominant pricing incorporates the district’s partisan baseline and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,650終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s at-large congressional district has long favored Republican candidates, reflected in the market’s 95.5% consensus for the Republican Party nominee. Incumbent Representative Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating primary challenger Alex Balazs with 73% of the vote, while Democrat Trygve Hammer advanced unopposed in his primary for a rematch of the 2024 contest. Fedorchak’s prior general-election margin exceeded 30 points in a state that consistently delivers strong Republican turnout across statewide races. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the dominant pricing incorporates the district’s partisan baseline and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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