Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries but left the district's partisan balance largely intact, while the Democratic primary was canceled with only one candidate advancing. The Republican primary scheduled for June 23 features the incumbent seeking renomination against limited opposition. A sustained national Democratic wave or late-cycle scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district's voter composition make a competitive general election unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,043 Vol.
$15,043 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$15,043 Vol.
$15,043 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,494 Vol.
91%
民主党
$9,549 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries but left the district's partisan balance largely intact, while the Democratic primary was canceled with only one candidate advancing. The Republican primary scheduled for June 23 features the incumbent seeking renomination against limited opposition. A sustained national Democratic wave or late-cycle scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district's voter composition make a competitive general election unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$15,043終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries but left the district's partisan balance largely intact, while the Democratic primary was canceled with only one candidate advancing. The Republican primary scheduled for June 23 features the incumbent seeking renomination against limited opposition. A sustained national Democratic wave or late-cycle scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district's voter composition make a competitive general election unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,043終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting consistent GOP margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Court-ordered redistricting adjusted boundaries but left the district's partisan balance largely intact, while the Democratic primary was canceled with only one candidate advancing. The Republican primary scheduled for June 23 features the incumbent seeking renomination against limited opposition. A sustained national Democratic wave or late-cycle scandal could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and the district's voter composition make a competitive general election unlikely.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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