Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. Redistricting shifted boundaries to favor the GOP nominee, who advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican convention and primary after Burgess Owens retired. Kennedy's substantial fundraising edge and legislative record further consolidate support among Republican voters. Jonny Larsen secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails significantly in resources and district alignment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,280 Vol.
$42,280 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ケネディ（共和党）
95%
ジョニー・ラーセン（民主党）
4%
$42,280 Vol.
$42,280 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ケネディ（共和党）
$16,189 Vol.
95%
ジョニー・ラーセン（民主党）
$26,091 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. Redistricting shifted boundaries to favor the GOP nominee, who advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican convention and primary after Burgess Owens retired. Kennedy's substantial fundraising edge and legislative record further consolidate support among Republican voters. Jonny Larsen secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails significantly in resources and district alignment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$42,280終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. Redistricting shifted boundaries to favor the GOP nominee, who advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican convention and primary after Burgess Owens retired. Kennedy's substantial fundraising edge and legislative record further consolidate support among Republican voters. Jonny Larsen secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails significantly in resources and district alignment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,280終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah's 4th Congressional District race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in recent presidential results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly Republican. Redistricting shifted boundaries to favor the GOP nominee, who advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican convention and primary after Burgess Owens retired. Kennedy's substantial fundraising edge and legislative record further consolidate support among Republican voters. Jonny Larsen secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but trails significantly in resources and district alignment. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though current conditions point to limited volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問