The special election to fill the vacancy in Georgia's 13th congressional district, created by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, produced a July 28 first-round result in which two Democrats advanced to the August 25 runoff. Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. together captured the large majority of votes in the solidly Democratic-leaning Atlanta metro district, while Republican candidates received under 14 percent combined. With the contest reduced to an intra-party matchup, traders have priced in a near-certain Democratic outcome. The only realistic path to a Republican win would require an unforeseen reversal of the runoff result or a successful legal challenge to the certified winner, neither of which has emerged in available reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,320 Vol.
$35,320 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$35,320 Vol.
$35,320 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,061 Vol.
96%
共和党
$19,259 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The special election to fill the vacancy in Georgia's 13th congressional district, created by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, produced a July 28 first-round result in which two Democrats advanced to the August 25 runoff. Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. together captured the large majority of votes in the solidly Democratic-leaning Atlanta metro district, while Republican candidates received under 14 percent combined. With the contest reduced to an intra-party matchup, traders have priced in a near-certain Democratic outcome. The only realistic path to a Republican win would require an unforeseen reversal of the runoff result or a successful legal challenge to the certified winner, neither of which has emerged in available reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$35,320終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The special election to fill the vacancy in Georgia's 13th congressional district, created by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, produced a July 28 first-round result in which two Democrats advanced to the August 25 runoff. Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. together captured the large majority of votes in the solidly Democratic-leaning Atlanta metro district, while Republican candidates received under 14 percent combined. With the contest reduced to an intra-party matchup, traders have priced in a near-certain Democratic outcome. The only realistic path to a Republican win would require an unforeseen reversal of the runoff result or a successful legal challenge to the certified winner, neither of which has emerged in available reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,320終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The special election to fill the vacancy in Georgia's 13th congressional district, created by the April 2026 death of longtime Democratic incumbent David Scott, produced a July 28 first-round result in which two Democrats advanced to the August 25 runoff. Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. together captured the large majority of votes in the solidly Democratic-leaning Atlanta metro district, while Republican candidates received under 14 percent combined. With the contest reduced to an intra-party matchup, traders have priced in a near-certain Democratic outcome. The only realistic path to a Republican win would require an unforeseen reversal of the runoff result or a successful legal challenge to the certified winner, neither of which has emerged in available reporting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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