Georgia's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns that have delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat became open following incumbent David Scott's death in April 2026, prompting a special election scheduled for July 28. Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination with over 57 percent in the May primary, while Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability due to these structural advantages and limited crossover appeal in the district. A late national shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major unforeseen development affecting either candidate could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable seats indicate such reversals remain rare.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,936 Vol.
$23,936 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$23,936 Vol.
$23,936 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,024 Vol.
95%
共和党
$17,911 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns that have delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat became open following incumbent David Scott's death in April 2026, prompting a special election scheduled for July 28. Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination with over 57 percent in the May primary, while Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability due to these structural advantages and limited crossover appeal in the district. A late national shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major unforeseen development affecting either candidate could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable seats indicate such reversals remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$23,936終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns that have delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat became open following incumbent David Scott's death in April 2026, prompting a special election scheduled for July 28. Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination with over 57 percent in the May primary, while Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability due to these structural advantages and limited crossover appeal in the district. A late national shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major unforeseen development affecting either candidate could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable seats indicate such reversals remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,936終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 13th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent voting patterns that have delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. The seat became open following incumbent David Scott's death in April 2026, prompting a special election scheduled for July 28. Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination with over 57 percent in the May primary, while Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability due to these structural advantages and limited crossover appeal in the district. A late national shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or major unforeseen development affecting either candidate could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in comparable seats indicate such reversals remain rare.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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