The district's pronounced Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Clay Fuller, who secured the seat in the April 2026 special election runoff after Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation, enters the November general election with incumbent advantages and primary positioning. Historical turnout patterns and limited Democratic overperformance even in the special contest further reinforce the positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a substantial national midterm swing against the president's party, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually elevated Democratic mobilization in northwest Georgia counties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,466 Vol.
92%
民主党
$1,689 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Clay Fuller, who secured the seat in the April 2026 special election runoff after Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation, enters the November general election with incumbent advantages and primary positioning. Historical turnout patterns and limited Democratic overperformance even in the special contest further reinforce the positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a substantial national midterm swing against the president's party, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually elevated Democratic mobilization in northwest Georgia counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$6,156終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Clay Fuller, who secured the seat in the April 2026 special election runoff after Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation, enters the November general election with incumbent advantages and primary positioning. Historical turnout patterns and limited Democratic overperformance even in the special contest further reinforce the positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a substantial national midterm swing against the president's party, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually elevated Democratic mobilization in northwest Georgia counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,156終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's pronounced Republican lean, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Clay Fuller, who secured the seat in the April 2026 special election runoff after Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation, enters the November general election with incumbent advantages and primary positioning. Historical turnout patterns and limited Democratic overperformance even in the special contest further reinforce the positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a substantial national midterm swing against the president's party, an unforeseen scandal or health issue affecting the Republican candidate, or unusually elevated Democratic mobilization in northwest Georgia counties.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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