Georgia's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Incumbent Clayton Fuller secured the seat in the April 2026 special runoff following Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation and advanced through the May Republican primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Shawn Harris in the November general election. Trader consensus at 92% for Republicans aligns with these structural advantages, including primary outcomes and limited Democratic infrastructure in the northwest Georgia district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major candidate-specific development, such as a significant scandal or health issue, unusually elevated Democratic turnout driven by national events, or an unexpected shift in voter priorities within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,466 Vol.
92%
民主党
$1,689 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Incumbent Clayton Fuller secured the seat in the April 2026 special runoff following Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation and advanced through the May Republican primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Shawn Harris in the November general election. Trader consensus at 92% for Republicans aligns with these structural advantages, including primary outcomes and limited Democratic infrastructure in the northwest Georgia district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major candidate-specific development, such as a significant scandal or health issue, unusually elevated Democratic turnout driven by national events, or an unexpected shift in voter priorities within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$6,156終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Incumbent Clayton Fuller secured the seat in the April 2026 special runoff following Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation and advanced through the May Republican primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Shawn Harris in the November general election. Trader consensus at 92% for Republicans aligns with these structural advantages, including primary outcomes and limited Democratic infrastructure in the northwest Georgia district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major candidate-specific development, such as a significant scandal or health issue, unusually elevated Democratic turnout driven by national events, or an unexpected shift in voter priorities within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,156終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 14th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Incumbent Clayton Fuller secured the seat in the April 2026 special runoff following Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation and advanced through the May Republican primary, positioning him as the clear frontrunner against Democrat Shawn Harris in the November general election. Trader consensus at 92% for Republicans aligns with these structural advantages, including primary outcomes and limited Democratic infrastructure in the northwest Georgia district. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major candidate-specific development, such as a significant scandal or health issue, unusually elevated Democratic turnout driven by national events, or an unexpected shift in voter priorities within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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