Idaho’s 1st congressional district, encompassing the Panhandle and western Boise suburbs, maintains a strong Republican partisan lean reflected in recent election results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. This positioning aligns with Fulcher’s 71 percent general-election margin in 2024 and the absence of major recent developments or national shifts that would alter the district’s baseline voting patterns ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors alongside historical midterm turnout trends in the state. Unlikely late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or an unanticipated national wave would be required to meaningfully compress the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,550 Vol.
$34,550 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
2%
$34,550 Vol.
$34,550 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,726 Vol.
95%
民主党
$12,824 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district, encompassing the Panhandle and western Boise suburbs, maintains a strong Republican partisan lean reflected in recent election results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. This positioning aligns with Fulcher’s 71 percent general-election margin in 2024 and the absence of major recent developments or national shifts that would alter the district’s baseline voting patterns ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors alongside historical midterm turnout trends in the state. Unlikely late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or an unanticipated national wave would be required to meaningfully compress the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$34,550終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district, encompassing the Panhandle and western Boise suburbs, maintains a strong Republican partisan lean reflected in recent election results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. This positioning aligns with Fulcher’s 71 percent general-election margin in 2024 and the absence of major recent developments or national shifts that would alter the district’s baseline voting patterns ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors alongside historical midterm turnout trends in the state. Unlikely late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or an unanticipated national wave would be required to meaningfully compress the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,550終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st congressional district, encompassing the Panhandle and western Boise suburbs, maintains a strong Republican partisan lean reflected in recent election results and nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe Republican. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. This positioning aligns with Fulcher’s 71 percent general-election margin in 2024 and the absence of major recent developments or national shifts that would alter the district’s baseline voting patterns ahead of the November 3 contest. Trader consensus at 95 percent for the Republican nominee incorporates these structural factors alongside historical midterm turnout trends in the state. Unlikely late-cycle events such as candidate withdrawal, significant scandal, or an unanticipated national wave would be required to meaningfully compress the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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