Idaho's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, anchored by consistent primary and general election margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party's nomination with roughly 78 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced with over 87 percent on her side. The district's voter base, geographic profile covering the Panhandle and western Boise suburbs, and Fulcher's established record continue to underpin trader consensus on a Republican hold. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing or major disruption such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which has materialized in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,550 Vol.
$34,550 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
2%
$34,550 Vol.
$34,550 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,726 Vol.
95%
民主党
$12,824 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, anchored by consistent primary and general election margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party's nomination with roughly 78 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced with over 87 percent on her side. The district's voter base, geographic profile covering the Panhandle and western Boise suburbs, and Fulcher's established record continue to underpin trader consensus on a Republican hold. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing or major disruption such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which has materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$34,550終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, anchored by consistent primary and general election margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party's nomination with roughly 78 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced with over 87 percent on her side. The district's voter base, geographic profile covering the Panhandle and western Boise suburbs, and Fulcher's established record continue to underpin trader consensus on a Republican hold. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing or major disruption such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which has materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,550終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, anchored by consistent primary and general election margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured his party's nomination with roughly 78 percent in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced with over 87 percent on her side. The district's voter base, geographic profile covering the Panhandle and western Boise suburbs, and Fulcher's established record continue to underpin trader consensus on a Republican hold. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing or major disruption such as a late scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, neither of which has materialized in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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