Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination on May 19 with 78 percent of the primary vote, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced as her party’s nominee. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election. Factors sustaining this position include the district’s partisan composition and the incumbent’s established voter base. Scenarios that could narrow the margin remain limited but include a major unforeseen controversy or significant shift in national political conditions before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,550 Vol.
$34,550 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
2%
$34,550 Vol.
$34,550 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,726 Vol.
95%
民主党
$12,824 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination on May 19 with 78 percent of the primary vote, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced as her party’s nominee. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election. Factors sustaining this position include the district’s partisan composition and the incumbent’s established voter base. Scenarios that could narrow the margin remain limited but include a major unforeseen controversy or significant shift in national political conditions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$34,550終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination on May 19 with 78 percent of the primary vote, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced as her party’s nominee. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election. Factors sustaining this position include the district’s partisan composition and the incumbent’s established voter base. Scenarios that could narrow the margin remain limited but include a major unforeseen controversy or significant shift in national political conditions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,550終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+22 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured the Republican nomination on May 19 with 78 percent of the primary vote, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced as her party’s nominee. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Republican Party a 95 percent implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election. Factors sustaining this position include the district’s partisan composition and the incumbent’s established voter base. Scenarios that could narrow the margin remain limited but include a major unforeseen controversy or significant shift in national political conditions before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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