Washington's 1st congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, with incumbent Representative Suzan DelBene holding a wide advantage heading into the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. The district's partisan voting index of roughly D+15, combined with DelBene's consistent general-election margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Multiple Democratic primary entrants have emerged alongside a single Republican and an independent, yet no polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national swing or an unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, both of which appear remote given the district's suburban Seattle composition and voting history.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,905 Vol.
$15,905 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
3%
$15,905 Vol.
$15,905 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,076 Vol.
93%
共和党
$6,830 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 1st congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, with incumbent Representative Suzan DelBene holding a wide advantage heading into the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. The district's partisan voting index of roughly D+15, combined with DelBene's consistent general-election margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Multiple Democratic primary entrants have emerged alongside a single Republican and an independent, yet no polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national swing or an unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, both of which appear remote given the district's suburban Seattle composition and voting history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$15,905終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 1st congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, with incumbent Representative Suzan DelBene holding a wide advantage heading into the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. The district's partisan voting index of roughly D+15, combined with DelBene's consistent general-election margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Multiple Democratic primary entrants have emerged alongside a single Republican and an independent, yet no polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national swing or an unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, both of which appear remote given the district's suburban Seattle composition and voting history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,905終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 1st congressional district remains a structurally Democratic seat, with incumbent Representative Suzan DelBene holding a wide advantage heading into the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. The district's partisan voting index of roughly D+15, combined with DelBene's consistent general-election margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Multiple Democratic primary entrants have emerged alongside a single Republican and an independent, yet no polling or fundraising data indicates a viable challenge. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national swing or an unforeseen development affecting the incumbent, both of which appear remote given the district's suburban Seattle composition and voting history.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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