Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with a clear majority and will face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and Simpson’s consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in prior cycles underpin trader consensus on the outcome. No significant shifts in candidate field, polling trends, or external events have altered the structural advantage since the primaries concluded. A Republican hold could still face disruption from unforeseen developments such as health-related withdrawal or major scandals in the final months before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,049 Vol.
93%
民主党
$3,409 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with a clear majority and will face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and Simpson’s consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in prior cycles underpin trader consensus on the outcome. No significant shifts in candidate field, polling trends, or external events have altered the structural advantage since the primaries concluded. A Republican hold could still face disruption from unforeseen developments such as health-related withdrawal or major scandals in the final months before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$6,458終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with a clear majority and will face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and Simpson’s consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in prior cycles underpin trader consensus on the outcome. No significant shifts in candidate field, polling trends, or external events have altered the structural advantage since the primaries concluded. A Republican hold could still face disruption from unforeseen developments such as health-related withdrawal or major scandals in the final months before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,458終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Longtime incumbent Mike Simpson secured his party’s nomination in the May 19 primary with a clear majority and will face Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November 3 general election. The district’s partisan voting index and Simpson’s consistent reelection margins exceeding 60 percent in prior cycles underpin trader consensus on the outcome. No significant shifts in candidate field, polling trends, or external events have altered the structural advantage since the primaries concluded. A Republican hold could still face disruption from unforeseen developments such as health-related withdrawal or major scandals in the final months before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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