Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and Simpson’s repeated victories including 61 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Simpson secured the GOP nomination with 63 percent in the May primary against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced as her party’s nominee. Simpson’s substantial fundraising edge and established support in eastern and rural areas further reinforce expectations of a Republican hold. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,509 Vol.
$34,509 Vol.
2026/11/03
マイク・シンプソン（共和党）
95%
エリー・ギルブレス（民主党）
6%
$34,509 Vol.
$34,509 Vol.
2026/11/03
マイク・シンプソン（共和党）
$14,251 Vol.
95%
エリー・ギルブレス（民主党）
$20,258 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and Simpson’s repeated victories including 61 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Simpson secured the GOP nomination with 63 percent in the May primary against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced as her party’s nominee. Simpson’s substantial fundraising edge and established support in eastern and rural areas further reinforce expectations of a Republican hold. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$34,509終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and Simpson’s repeated victories including 61 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Simpson secured the GOP nomination with 63 percent in the May primary against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced as her party’s nominee. Simpson’s substantial fundraising edge and established support in eastern and rural areas further reinforce expectations of a Republican hold. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,509終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and Simpson’s repeated victories including 61 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Simpson secured the GOP nomination with 63 percent in the May primary against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced as her party’s nominee. Simpson’s substantial fundraising edge and established support in eastern and rural areas further reinforce expectations of a Republican hold. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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