Tennessee's 2nd congressional district has maintained a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in repeated strong performances by incumbent Tim Burchett in prior cycles. The upcoming August 6 primary features Burchett seeking renomination with limited opposition, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advances as the likely general-election nominee. Fundraising disparities, the district's voting history in presidential and statewide races, and structural advantages for the incumbent party have shaped trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually competitive primary outcome, a major late development affecting candidate viability, or shifts in national conditions that boost Democratic turnout in this Knoxville-area seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,042 Vol.
$28,042 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$28,042 Vol.
$28,042 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$19,235 Vol.
94%
民主党
$8,807 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district has maintained a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in repeated strong performances by incumbent Tim Burchett in prior cycles. The upcoming August 6 primary features Burchett seeking renomination with limited opposition, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advances as the likely general-election nominee. Fundraising disparities, the district's voting history in presidential and statewide races, and structural advantages for the incumbent party have shaped trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually competitive primary outcome, a major late development affecting candidate viability, or shifts in national conditions that boost Democratic turnout in this Knoxville-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$28,042終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district has maintained a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in repeated strong performances by incumbent Tim Burchett in prior cycles. The upcoming August 6 primary features Burchett seeking renomination with limited opposition, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advances as the likely general-election nominee. Fundraising disparities, the district's voting history in presidential and statewide races, and structural advantages for the incumbent party have shaped trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually competitive primary outcome, a major late development affecting candidate viability, or shifts in national conditions that boost Democratic turnout in this Knoxville-area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,042終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2nd congressional district has maintained a consistent Republican tilt, reflected in repeated strong performances by incumbent Tim Burchett in prior cycles. The upcoming August 6 primary features Burchett seeking renomination with limited opposition, while Democrat Michaela Barnett advances as the likely general-election nominee. Fundraising disparities, the district's voting history in presidential and statewide races, and structural advantages for the incumbent party have shaped trader consensus around a Republican victory in the November 2026 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually competitive primary outcome, a major late development affecting candidate viability, or shifts in national conditions that boost Democratic turnout in this Knoxville-area seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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