Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, with incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger seeking renomination in the August primary ahead of the November general election. The northeast Tennessee district's voter base and historical margins, including Harshbarger's 78% share in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election opposition. A late scandal, significant shift in national midterm dynamics, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,403 Vol.
$18,403 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
5%
$18,403 Vol.
$18,403 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$13,189 Vol.
94%
民主党
$5,214 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, with incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger seeking renomination in the August primary ahead of the November general election. The northeast Tennessee district's voter base and historical margins, including Harshbarger's 78% share in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election opposition. A late scandal, significant shift in national midterm dynamics, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$18,403終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, with incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger seeking renomination in the August primary ahead of the November general election. The northeast Tennessee district's voter base and historical margins, including Harshbarger's 78% share in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election opposition. A late scandal, significant shift in national midterm dynamics, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,403終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, with incumbent Rep. Diana Harshbarger seeking renomination in the August primary ahead of the November general election. The northeast Tennessee district's voter base and historical margins, including Harshbarger's 78% share in 2024, underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of competitive general-election opposition. A late scandal, significant shift in national midterm dynamics, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors continue to limit realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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