Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, which left its northeast boundaries largely unchanged. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured 78% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while Democratic primary candidates have not emerged with notable fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index near R+29 and consistent historical margins. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A late primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this region based on past cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,297 Vol.
$18,297 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
5%
$18,297 Vol.
$18,297 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$13,088 Vol.
94%
民主党
$5,209 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, which left its northeast boundaries largely unchanged. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured 78% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while Democratic primary candidates have not emerged with notable fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index near R+29 and consistent historical margins. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A late primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this region based on past cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$18,297終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, which left its northeast boundaries largely unchanged. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured 78% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while Democratic primary candidates have not emerged with notable fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index near R+29 and consistent historical margins. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A late primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this region based on past cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,297終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the state's May 2026 redistricting, which left its northeast boundaries largely unchanged. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured 78% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest, while Democratic primary candidates have not emerged with notable fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible general election challenge. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index near R+29 and consistent historical margins. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors. A late primary upset, major scandal involving the nominee, or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this region based on past cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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