Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its eastern Appalachian voter base and consistent electoral history, with the incumbent securing roughly 78% in the prior cycle. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 6, 2026, contest and enters the general as the clear frontrunner against lesser-known Democratic primary contenders. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5% because structural factors such as partisan registration, past turnout patterns, and the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals reinforce this positioning. A narrow Democratic upset would require an unforeseen national wave, significant incumbent vulnerability, or late-breaking developments within the November resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,295 Vol.
$19,295 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
4%
$19,295 Vol.
$19,295 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$14,047 Vol.
94%
民主党
$5,248 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its eastern Appalachian voter base and consistent electoral history, with the incumbent securing roughly 78% in the prior cycle. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 6, 2026, contest and enters the general as the clear frontrunner against lesser-known Democratic primary contenders. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5% because structural factors such as partisan registration, past turnout patterns, and the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals reinforce this positioning. A narrow Democratic upset would require an unforeseen national wave, significant incumbent vulnerability, or late-breaking developments within the November resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$19,295終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its eastern Appalachian voter base and consistent electoral history, with the incumbent securing roughly 78% in the prior cycle. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 6, 2026, contest and enters the general as the clear frontrunner against lesser-known Democratic primary contenders. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5% because structural factors such as partisan registration, past turnout patterns, and the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals reinforce this positioning. A narrow Democratic upset would require an unforeseen national wave, significant incumbent vulnerability, or late-breaking developments within the November resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,295終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its eastern Appalachian voter base and consistent electoral history, with the incumbent securing roughly 78% in the prior cycle. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 6, 2026, contest and enters the general as the clear frontrunner against lesser-known Democratic primary contenders. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5% because structural factors such as partisan registration, past turnout patterns, and the absence of competitive challengers or major scandals reinforce this positioning. A narrow Democratic upset would require an unforeseen national wave, significant incumbent vulnerability, or late-breaking developments within the November resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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