Republican Matt Van Epps, the incumbent who secured the seat in a December 2025 special election, enters the 2026 general election with strong positioning in Tennessee's 7th congressional district. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 22-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee despite Democratic primary activity involving candidates such as Vincent Dixie and Darden Copeland. Redistricting adjustments produced minimal change to the overall composition, keeping the seat in the Solid Republican category according to nonpartisan ratings. Van Epps's special-election victory by roughly nine points, bolstered by an endorsement from the president, established an early advantage that subsequent filings and fundraising have not significantly altered. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, following August primaries, the implied probability reflects the structural barriers for Democratic challengers in this environment, though turnout patterns or late-cycle developments could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,608 Vol.
85%
民主党
$1,190 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Matt Van Epps, the incumbent who secured the seat in a December 2025 special election, enters the 2026 general election with strong positioning in Tennessee's 7th congressional district. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 22-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee despite Democratic primary activity involving candidates such as Vincent Dixie and Darden Copeland. Redistricting adjustments produced minimal change to the overall composition, keeping the seat in the Solid Republican category according to nonpartisan ratings. Van Epps's special-election victory by roughly nine points, bolstered by an endorsement from the president, established an early advantage that subsequent filings and fundraising have not significantly altered. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, following August primaries, the implied probability reflects the structural barriers for Democratic challengers in this environment, though turnout patterns or late-cycle developments could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$3,798終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Matt Van Epps, the incumbent who secured the seat in a December 2025 special election, enters the 2026 general election with strong positioning in Tennessee's 7th congressional district. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 22-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee despite Democratic primary activity involving candidates such as Vincent Dixie and Darden Copeland. Redistricting adjustments produced minimal change to the overall composition, keeping the seat in the Solid Republican category according to nonpartisan ratings. Van Epps's special-election victory by roughly nine points, bolstered by an endorsement from the president, established an early advantage that subsequent filings and fundraising have not significantly altered. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, following August primaries, the implied probability reflects the structural barriers for Democratic challengers in this environment, though turnout patterns or late-cycle developments could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,798終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Matt Van Epps, the incumbent who secured the seat in a December 2025 special election, enters the 2026 general election with strong positioning in Tennessee's 7th congressional district. The district's partisan lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 22-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee despite Democratic primary activity involving candidates such as Vincent Dixie and Darden Copeland. Redistricting adjustments produced minimal change to the overall composition, keeping the seat in the Solid Republican category according to nonpartisan ratings. Van Epps's special-election victory by roughly nine points, bolstered by an endorsement from the president, established an early advantage that subsequent filings and fundraising have not significantly altered. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, following August primaries, the implied probability reflects the structural barriers for Democratic challengers in this environment, though turnout patterns or late-cycle developments could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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