Tennessee's 7th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, with the 84.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee reflecting its partisan voting index of roughly R+11 and Donald Trump's 22-point margin there in 2024. Freshman Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps, who secured the seat in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% after Mark Green's resignation, benefits from incumbency and faces no serious primary challenge. Democratic primary contenders, including repeat candidates from the special election cycle, operate in a district redrawn in May 2026 without meaningful shifts to its underlying composition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, limiting Democratic upside despite primary activity ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,608 Vol.
85%
民主党
$1,190 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 7th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, with the 84.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee reflecting its partisan voting index of roughly R+11 and Donald Trump's 22-point margin there in 2024. Freshman Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps, who secured the seat in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% after Mark Green's resignation, benefits from incumbency and faces no serious primary challenge. Democratic primary contenders, including repeat candidates from the special election cycle, operate in a district redrawn in May 2026 without meaningful shifts to its underlying composition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, limiting Democratic upside despite primary activity ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$3,798終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 7th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, with the 84.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee reflecting its partisan voting index of roughly R+11 and Donald Trump's 22-point margin there in 2024. Freshman Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps, who secured the seat in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% after Mark Green's resignation, benefits from incumbency and faces no serious primary challenge. Democratic primary contenders, including repeat candidates from the special election cycle, operate in a district redrawn in May 2026 without meaningful shifts to its underlying composition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, limiting Democratic upside despite primary activity ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,798終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 7th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat, with the 84.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee reflecting its partisan voting index of roughly R+11 and Donald Trump's 22-point margin there in 2024. Freshman Republican incumbent Matt Van Epps, who secured the seat in the December 2025 special election with 53.9% after Mark Green's resignation, benefits from incumbency and faces no serious primary challenge. Democratic primary contenders, including repeat candidates from the special election cycle, operate in a district redrawn in May 2026 without meaningful shifts to its underlying composition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, limiting Democratic upside despite primary activity ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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