Republican Matt Van Epps holds a strong position in Tennessee’s 7th congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, following his December 2025 special election victory to succeed former Rep. Mark Green. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in prior presidential results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins trader consensus for a GOP hold in the November general election. Recent mid-decade redistricting adopted in May 2026 preserved the seat’s core Republican tilt centered on Middle Tennessee suburbs. Van Epps faces minimal primary opposition on August 6, while Democrats field multiple candidates including returning contenders from the special election cycle. No major developments in the past month have altered the incumbent’s advantage or introduced competitive dynamics that would shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,608 Vol.
85%
民主党
$1,190 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Matt Van Epps holds a strong position in Tennessee’s 7th congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, following his December 2025 special election victory to succeed former Rep. Mark Green. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in prior presidential results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins trader consensus for a GOP hold in the November general election. Recent mid-decade redistricting adopted in May 2026 preserved the seat’s core Republican tilt centered on Middle Tennessee suburbs. Van Epps faces minimal primary opposition on August 6, while Democrats field multiple candidates including returning contenders from the special election cycle. No major developments in the past month have altered the incumbent’s advantage or introduced competitive dynamics that would shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$3,798終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Matt Van Epps holds a strong position in Tennessee’s 7th congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, following his December 2025 special election victory to succeed former Rep. Mark Green. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in prior presidential results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins trader consensus for a GOP hold in the November general election. Recent mid-decade redistricting adopted in May 2026 preserved the seat’s core Republican tilt centered on Middle Tennessee suburbs. Van Epps faces minimal primary opposition on August 6, while Democrats field multiple candidates including returning contenders from the special election cycle. No major developments in the past month have altered the incumbent’s advantage or introduced competitive dynamics that would shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,798終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Matt Van Epps holds a strong position in Tennessee’s 7th congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, following his December 2025 special election victory to succeed former Rep. Mark Green. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in prior presidential results favoring Republicans by double digits, underpins trader consensus for a GOP hold in the November general election. Recent mid-decade redistricting adopted in May 2026 preserved the seat’s core Republican tilt centered on Middle Tennessee suburbs. Van Epps faces minimal primary opposition on August 6, while Democrats field multiple candidates including returning contenders from the special election cycle. No major developments in the past month have altered the incumbent’s advantage or introduced competitive dynamics that would shift implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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