Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting patterns. Incumbent John Moolenaar, first elected in 2015 and re-elected with 65 percent in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition and has launched his 2026 re-election campaign citing legislative priorities on taxes and border security. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, with Democratic primary candidates such as Ben Ambrose drawing limited visibility or resources. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A major scandal, incumbent retirement, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline partisan composition would still favor Republican retention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,972 Vol.
$45,972 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$45,972 Vol.
$45,972 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,645 Vol.
95%
民主党
$24,326 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting patterns. Incumbent John Moolenaar, first elected in 2015 and re-elected with 65 percent in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition and has launched his 2026 re-election campaign citing legislative priorities on taxes and border security. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, with Democratic primary candidates such as Ben Ambrose drawing limited visibility or resources. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A major scandal, incumbent retirement, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline partisan composition would still favor Republican retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$45,972終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting patterns. Incumbent John Moolenaar, first elected in 2015 and re-elected with 65 percent in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition and has launched his 2026 re-election campaign citing legislative priorities on taxes and border security. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, with Democratic primary candidates such as Ben Ambrose drawing limited visibility or resources. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A major scandal, incumbent retirement, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline partisan composition would still favor Republican retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,972終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in presidential voting patterns. Incumbent John Moolenaar, first elected in 2015 and re-elected with 65 percent in 2024, faces minimal primary opposition and has launched his 2026 re-election campaign citing legislative priorities on taxes and border security. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, with Democratic primary candidates such as Ben Ambrose drawing limited visibility or resources. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects this structural edge and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals. A major scandal, incumbent retirement, or unanticipated national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline partisan composition would still favor Republican retention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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