Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile challenger have kept the race non-competitive thus far. Key upcoming dates include the August 4, 2026 primaries and the November general election. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without major intervening events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,577 Vol.
$52,577 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
99%
民主党
1%
$52,577 Vol.
$52,577 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,963 Vol.
99%
民主党
$30,615 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile challenger have kept the race non-competitive thus far. Key upcoming dates include the August 4, 2026 primaries and the November general election. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without major intervening events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$52,577終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile challenger have kept the race non-competitive thus far. Key upcoming dates include the August 4, 2026 primaries and the November general election. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without major intervening events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$52,577終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters with a Partisan Voter Index of R+15. The district’s consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring continued GOP control. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile challenger have kept the race non-competitive thus far. Key upcoming dates include the August 4, 2026 primaries and the November general election. A late scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or unusually strong Democratic nominee could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable without major intervening events.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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