Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index, and his consistent electoral success since 2015. He advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning 65% in 2024, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Recent candidate questionnaires highlight policy differences on taxes, border security, healthcare costs, and rural issues, but no developments have shifted the underlying partisan dynamics. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically alter outcomes, though current consensus reflects the district's structural advantages for the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$53,943 Vol.
$53,943 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・ムーレナール（共和党）
98%
ベン・アンブローズ（民主党）
1%
$53,943 Vol.
$53,943 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・ムーレナール（共和党）
$22,752 Vol.
98%
ベン・アンブローズ（民主党）
$31,190 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index, and his consistent electoral success since 2015. He advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning 65% in 2024, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Recent candidate questionnaires highlight policy differences on taxes, border security, healthcare costs, and rural issues, but no developments have shifted the underlying partisan dynamics. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically alter outcomes, though current consensus reflects the district's structural advantages for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$53,943終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index, and his consistent electoral success since 2015. He advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning 65% in 2024, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Recent candidate questionnaires highlight policy differences on taxes, border security, healthcare costs, and rural issues, but no developments have shifted the underlying partisan dynamics. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically alter outcomes, though current consensus reflects the district's structural advantages for the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$53,943終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District race due to the area's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+15 Partisan Voter Index, and his consistent electoral success since 2015. He advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary after winning 65% in 2024, while Democrat Ben Ambrose emerged from a competitive primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Recent candidate questionnaires highlight policy differences on taxes, border security, healthcare costs, and rural issues, but no developments have shifted the underlying partisan dynamics. Late-breaking national shifts, candidate health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could theoretically alter outcomes, though current consensus reflects the district's structural advantages for the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問