Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's re-election bid in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District benefits from the seat's consistent Republican performance, including a 2024 victory margin exceeding 33 points and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with no major endorsements or polling shifts reported in recent months. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, primary surprises elevating a competitive challenger, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals altering the general election field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,962 Vol.
$45,962 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$45,962 Vol.
$45,962 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,645 Vol.
95%
民主党
$24,317 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's re-election bid in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District benefits from the seat's consistent Republican performance, including a 2024 victory margin exceeding 33 points and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with no major endorsements or polling shifts reported in recent months. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, primary surprises elevating a competitive challenger, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals altering the general election field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$45,962終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's re-election bid in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District benefits from the seat's consistent Republican performance, including a 2024 victory margin exceeding 33 points and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with no major endorsements or polling shifts reported in recent months. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, primary surprises elevating a competitive challenger, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals altering the general election field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,962終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar's re-election bid in Michigan's 2nd Congressional District benefits from the seat's consistent Republican performance, including a 2024 victory margin exceeding 33 points and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the August 2026 primaries and November general election. Democratic primary candidates remain low-profile with no major endorsements or polling shifts reported in recent months. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage. Potential shifts could arise from an unusually strong national Democratic environment, primary surprises elevating a competitive challenger, or unforeseen candidate withdrawals altering the general election field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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