Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his established record since 2015. The district, which includes much of western and central Michigan and carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, delivered Moolenaar a 65% victory in 2024. He faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements including from former President Trump, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, a Marine Corps veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, though the current structural and financial gap leaves little room for competitive movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$53,943 Vol.
$53,943 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・ムーレナール（共和党）
98%
ベン・アンブローズ（民主党）
1%
$53,943 Vol.
$53,943 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョン・ムーレナール（共和党）
$22,752 Vol.
98%
ベン・アンブローズ（民主党）
$31,190 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his established record since 2015. The district, which includes much of western and central Michigan and carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, delivered Moolenaar a 65% victory in 2024. He faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements including from former President Trump, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, a Marine Corps veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, though the current structural and financial gap leaves little room for competitive movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$53,943終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his established record since 2015. The district, which includes much of western and central Michigan and carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, delivered Moolenaar a 65% victory in 2024. He faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements including from former President Trump, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, a Marine Corps veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, though the current structural and financial gap leaves little room for competitive movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$53,943終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and his established record since 2015. The district, which includes much of western and central Michigan and carries an R+15 Partisan Voter Index, delivered Moolenaar a 65% victory in 2024. He faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements including from former President Trump, while Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, a Marine Corps veteran who narrowly won his August 4 primary, trails significantly in fundraising. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, though the current structural and financial gap leaves little room for competitive movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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