Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, following his primary on August 4. The seat’s partisan composition and voting history have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, limiting Democratic recruitment and fundraising. No prominent Democratic challengers have emerged in filing or polling as of early June 2026, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Republican probability. A credible Democratic nominee or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors and the absence of competitive primary activity continue to anchor expectations for Republican retention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,962 Vol.
$45,962 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$45,962 Vol.
$45,962 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$21,645 Vol.
95%
民主党
$24,317 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, following his primary on August 4. The seat’s partisan composition and voting history have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, limiting Democratic recruitment and fundraising. No prominent Democratic challengers have emerged in filing or polling as of early June 2026, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Republican probability. A credible Democratic nominee or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors and the absence of competitive primary activity continue to anchor expectations for Republican retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$45,962終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, following his primary on August 4. The seat’s partisan composition and voting history have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, limiting Democratic recruitment and fundraising. No prominent Democratic challengers have emerged in filing or polling as of early June 2026, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Republican probability. A credible Democratic nominee or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors and the absence of competitive primary activity continue to anchor expectations for Republican retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,962終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar seeks re-election in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district for the November 2026 general election, following his primary on August 4. The seat’s partisan composition and voting history have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, limiting Democratic recruitment and fundraising. No prominent Democratic challengers have emerged in filing or polling as of early June 2026, reinforcing trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% Republican probability. A credible Democratic nominee or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors and the absence of competitive primary activity continue to anchor expectations for Republican retention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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