Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with roughly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District and now faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district covering most of eastern and southern Oregon maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid R rating and +14 Republican partisan voting index. Bentz's established fundraising edge, prior 2024 victory margin exceeding 25 points, and alignment with district priorities on issues such as land use and federal water projects underpin trader consensus for a Republican hold. A decisive shift would require unusual late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national wave substantially altering turnout patterns in this low-competition race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,363 Vol.
92%
民主党
$2,784 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with roughly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District and now faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district covering most of eastern and southern Oregon maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid R rating and +14 Republican partisan voting index. Bentz's established fundraising edge, prior 2024 victory margin exceeding 25 points, and alignment with district priorities on issues such as land use and federal water projects underpin trader consensus for a Republican hold. A decisive shift would require unusual late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national wave substantially altering turnout patterns in this low-competition race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$5,147終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with roughly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District and now faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district covering most of eastern and southern Oregon maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid R rating and +14 Republican partisan voting index. Bentz's established fundraising edge, prior 2024 victory margin exceeding 25 points, and alignment with district priorities on issues such as land use and federal water projects underpin trader consensus for a Republican hold. A decisive shift would require unusual late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national wave substantially altering turnout patterns in this low-competition race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,147終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz secured his party's nomination with roughly 80% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 2nd Congressional District and now faces Democrat Chris Beck in the November general election. The sprawling rural district covering most of eastern and southern Oregon maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid R rating and +14 Republican partisan voting index. Bentz's established fundraising edge, prior 2024 victory margin exceeding 25 points, and alignment with district priorities on issues such as land use and federal water projects underpin trader consensus for a Republican hold. A decisive shift would require unusual late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national wave substantially altering turnout patterns in this low-competition race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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