Florida's 16th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid Republican or Likely Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly six points. Vern Buchanan's retirement opens the seat for the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election, yet the area's voting history, including a projected 14-point Trump margin under current lines, sustains trader consensus around the Republican nominee. Recent Florida redistricting, upheld for 2026 cycles, reinforces the tilt without introducing competitive shifts. Multiple candidates have filed in both primaries, but the fundamentals leave limited room for an upset under prevailing conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,587 Vol.
$17,587 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
71%
民主党
26%
$17,587 Vol.
$17,587 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,760 Vol.
71%
民主党
$11,827 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid Republican or Likely Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly six points. Vern Buchanan's retirement opens the seat for the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election, yet the area's voting history, including a projected 14-point Trump margin under current lines, sustains trader consensus around the Republican nominee. Recent Florida redistricting, upheld for 2026 cycles, reinforces the tilt without introducing competitive shifts. Multiple candidates have filed in both primaries, but the fundamentals leave limited room for an upset under prevailing conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$17,587終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid Republican or Likely Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly six points. Vern Buchanan's retirement opens the seat for the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election, yet the area's voting history, including a projected 14-point Trump margin under current lines, sustains trader consensus around the Republican nominee. Recent Florida redistricting, upheld for 2026 cycles, reinforces the tilt without introducing competitive shifts. Multiple candidates have filed in both primaries, but the fundamentals leave limited room for an upset under prevailing conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,587終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings of Solid Republican or Likely Republican and a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly six points. Vern Buchanan's retirement opens the seat for the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election, yet the area's voting history, including a projected 14-point Trump margin under current lines, sustains trader consensus around the Republican nominee. Recent Florida redistricting, upheld for 2026 cycles, reinforces the tilt without introducing competitive shifts. Multiple candidates have filed in both primaries, but the fundamentals leave limited room for an upset under prevailing conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問