Florida's 16th congressional district features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan declined to seek reelection. Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with a strong majority, backed by significant fundraising and endorsements including from President Trump, while Kelly Kirschner emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's partisan lean favors Republicans, as shown by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and mid-decade redistricting that strengthened GOP positioning statewide. Forecasters rate the race as solid or likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,759 Vol.
$25,759 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
84%
民主党
17%
$25,759 Vol.
$25,759 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$9,773 Vol.
84%
民主党
$15,986 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan declined to seek reelection. Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with a strong majority, backed by significant fundraising and endorsements including from President Trump, while Kelly Kirschner emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's partisan lean favors Republicans, as shown by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and mid-decade redistricting that strengthened GOP positioning statewide. Forecasters rate the race as solid or likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$25,759終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan declined to seek reelection. Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with a strong majority, backed by significant fundraising and endorsements including from President Trump, while Kelly Kirschner emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's partisan lean favors Republicans, as shown by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and mid-decade redistricting that strengthened GOP positioning statewide. Forecasters rate the race as solid or likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,759終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan declined to seek reelection. Sydney Gruters secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with a strong majority, backed by significant fundraising and endorsements including from President Trump, while Kelly Kirschner emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district's partisan lean favors Republicans, as shown by Donald Trump's 8.5-point margin there in 2024 and mid-decade redistricting that strengthened GOP positioning statewide. Forecasters rate the race as solid or likely Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問