Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan announced his retirement. Recent redistricting, approved by the state legislature in April and upheld by a court in late May, shifted the lines to favor Republicans, with the revised map showing Donald Trump carrying the district by double digits in prior presidential voting. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 primaries for both parties ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus on a Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voter index and Florida's broader electoral trends, though an unusually strong national environment for Democrats or primary surprises could still influence the result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,587 Vol.
$17,587 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
69%
民主党
26%
$17,587 Vol.
$17,587 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,760 Vol.
69%
民主党
$11,827 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan announced his retirement. Recent redistricting, approved by the state legislature in April and upheld by a court in late May, shifted the lines to favor Republicans, with the revised map showing Donald Trump carrying the district by double digits in prior presidential voting. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 primaries for both parties ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus on a Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voter index and Florida's broader electoral trends, though an unusually strong national environment for Democrats or primary surprises could still influence the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$17,587終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan announced his retirement. Recent redistricting, approved by the state legislature in April and upheld by a court in late May, shifted the lines to favor Republicans, with the revised map showing Donald Trump carrying the district by double digits in prior presidential voting. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 primaries for both parties ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus on a Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voter index and Florida's broader electoral trends, though an unusually strong national environment for Democrats or primary surprises could still influence the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,587終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 16th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Vern Buchanan announced his retirement. Recent redistricting, approved by the state legislature in April and upheld by a court in late May, shifted the lines to favor Republicans, with the revised map showing Donald Trump carrying the district by double digits in prior presidential voting. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican. Multiple candidates are competing in the August 18 primaries for both parties ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus on a Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voter index and Florida's broader electoral trends, though an unusually strong national environment for Democrats or primary surprises could still influence the result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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