Incumbent Republican Greg Steube holds a commanding position in Florida's 17th congressional district race, reflecting the seat's R+10 Cook PVI, his 2024 reelection margin above 27 points, and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Steube advanced automatically after the August 2026 Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Matthew Montavon prevailed in his primary but faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a district spanning Sarasota, North Port, and surrounding areas. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts only in the event of major late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this reliably Republican-leaning district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,614 Vol.
$16,614 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$16,614 Vol.
$16,614 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$8,680 Vol.
93%
民主党
$7,934 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube holds a commanding position in Florida's 17th congressional district race, reflecting the seat's R+10 Cook PVI, his 2024 reelection margin above 27 points, and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Steube advanced automatically after the August 2026 Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Matthew Montavon prevailed in his primary but faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a district spanning Sarasota, North Port, and surrounding areas. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts only in the event of major late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this reliably Republican-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$16,614終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Steube holds a commanding position in Florida's 17th congressional district race, reflecting the seat's R+10 Cook PVI, his 2024 reelection margin above 27 points, and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Steube advanced automatically after the August 2026 Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Matthew Montavon prevailed in his primary but faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a district spanning Sarasota, North Port, and surrounding areas. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts only in the event of major late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this reliably Republican-leaning district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,614終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Steube holds a commanding position in Florida's 17th congressional district race, reflecting the seat's R+10 Cook PVI, his 2024 reelection margin above 27 points, and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Steube advanced automatically after the August 2026 Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Matthew Montavon prevailed in his primary but faces limited fundraising and structural headwinds in a district spanning Sarasota, North Port, and surrounding areas. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts only in the event of major late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this reliably Republican-leaning district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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