Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Harris won the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote and faced no primary opposition this cycle, while Democrat Colby Watson secured the opposing nomination in March. The district's partisan composition and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating underscore limited crossover appeal for challengers. With five months until Election Day and no major shifts in candidate dynamics or external events altering the landscape, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 84 percent implied probability of retaining the seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,806 Vol.
$13,806 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$13,806 Vol.
$13,806 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,674 Vol.
84%
民主党
$8,132 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Harris won the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote and faced no primary opposition this cycle, while Democrat Colby Watson secured the opposing nomination in March. The district's partisan composition and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating underscore limited crossover appeal for challengers. With five months until Election Day and no major shifts in candidate dynamics or external events altering the landscape, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 84 percent implied probability of retaining the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$13,806終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Harris won the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote and faced no primary opposition this cycle, while Democrat Colby Watson secured the opposing nomination in March. The district's partisan composition and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating underscore limited crossover appeal for challengers. With five months until Election Day and no major shifts in candidate dynamics or external events altering the landscape, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 84 percent implied probability of retaining the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,806終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Harris won the seat in 2024 with nearly 60 percent of the vote and faced no primary opposition this cycle, while Democrat Colby Watson secured the opposing nomination in March. The district's partisan composition and Cook Political Report's Solid Republican rating underscore limited crossover appeal for challengers. With five months until Election Day and no major shifts in candidate dynamics or external events altering the landscape, trader consensus assigns the Republican Party an 84 percent implied probability of retaining the seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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