New Jersey's 3rd congressional district favors Democratic candidates due to its voter registration edge and recent results, including incumbent Herb Conaway's 2024 victory. Conaway, a physician and state assemblyman, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, while Republican nominee Michael McGuire emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan leans in this suburban and central Jersey area. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and limited competitive signals. A major national shift, turnout surge among Republican-leaning voters, or late developments involving either nominee could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,418 Vol.
$26,418 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$26,418 Vol.
$26,418 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,895 Vol.
94%
共和党
$13,523 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 3rd congressional district favors Democratic candidates due to its voter registration edge and recent results, including incumbent Herb Conaway's 2024 victory. Conaway, a physician and state assemblyman, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, while Republican nominee Michael McGuire emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan leans in this suburban and central Jersey area. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and limited competitive signals. A major national shift, turnout surge among Republican-leaning voters, or late developments involving either nominee could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$26,418終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 3rd congressional district favors Democratic candidates due to its voter registration edge and recent results, including incumbent Herb Conaway's 2024 victory. Conaway, a physician and state assemblyman, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, while Republican nominee Michael McGuire emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan leans in this suburban and central Jersey area. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and limited competitive signals. A major national shift, turnout surge among Republican-leaning voters, or late developments involving either nominee could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,418終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 3rd congressional district favors Democratic candidates due to its voter registration edge and recent results, including incumbent Herb Conaway's 2024 victory. Conaway, a physician and state assemblyman, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition ahead of the November 2026 general election, while Republican nominee Michael McGuire emerged from a contested primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan leans in this suburban and central Jersey area. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and limited competitive signals. A major national shift, turnout surge among Republican-leaning voters, or late developments involving either nominee could narrow margins, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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