Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District with over 90 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating and partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. Dexter's incumbency provides structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter mobilization within this Portland-area seat. A realistic shift in odds would require substantial late-cycle developments, such as an unexpected scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic constituency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$750 Vol.
94%
共和党
$3,138 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District with over 90 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating and partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. Dexter's incumbency provides structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter mobilization within this Portland-area seat. A realistic shift in odds would require substantial late-cycle developments, such as an unexpected scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$3,887終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District with over 90 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating and partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. Dexter's incumbency provides structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter mobilization within this Portland-area seat. A realistic shift in odds would require substantial late-cycle developments, such as an unexpected scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic constituency.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,887終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in Oregon's 3rd Congressional District with over 90 percent of the primary vote in May 2026, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Solid D rating and partisan voting index exceeding D+20, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. Dexter's incumbency provides structural advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and voter mobilization within this Portland-area seat. A realistic shift in odds would require substantial late-cycle developments, such as an unexpected scandal, health issue, or national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic constituency.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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