Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with incumbent Maxine Dexter advancing from the May 2026 primary after securing nearly 90 percent of the vote against limited intraparty opposition. The district, encompassing eastern Portland and surrounding areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including Dexter's 2024 general election performance above 67 percent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic, driven by the area's partisan composition, Dexter's established fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of a competitive Republican primary challenge for nominee Loran Ayles. A late shift in national conditions, major personal development affecting the incumbent, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to a Republican victory before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$750 Vol.
94%
共和党
$3,138 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with incumbent Maxine Dexter advancing from the May 2026 primary after securing nearly 90 percent of the vote against limited intraparty opposition. The district, encompassing eastern Portland and surrounding areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including Dexter's 2024 general election performance above 67 percent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic, driven by the area's partisan composition, Dexter's established fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of a competitive Republican primary challenge for nominee Loran Ayles. A late shift in national conditions, major personal development affecting the incumbent, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to a Republican victory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$3,887終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with incumbent Maxine Dexter advancing from the May 2026 primary after securing nearly 90 percent of the vote against limited intraparty opposition. The district, encompassing eastern Portland and surrounding areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including Dexter's 2024 general election performance above 67 percent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic, driven by the area's partisan composition, Dexter's established fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of a competitive Republican primary challenge for nominee Loran Ayles. A late shift in national conditions, major personal development affecting the incumbent, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to a Republican victory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,887終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with incumbent Maxine Dexter advancing from the May 2026 primary after securing nearly 90 percent of the vote against limited intraparty opposition. The district, encompassing eastern Portland and surrounding areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including Dexter's 2024 general election performance above 67 percent. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Democratic, driven by the area's partisan composition, Dexter's established fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of a competitive Republican primary challenge for nominee Loran Ayles. A late shift in national conditions, major personal development affecting the incumbent, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to a Republican victory before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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