Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent for the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Suzanne Bonamici advanced through the May 2026 Democratic primary with minimal opposition and faces limited Republican challengers in a district rated Solid D by nonpartisan analysts, with a partisan voting index around D+20. Historical results show Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, driven by the district's composition encompassing Portland's western suburbs and coastal areas with consistent Democratic voting patterns. Factors that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, unexpected primary upset, or late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, though no such events have materialized in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,010 Vol.
95%
共和党
$1,172 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent for the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Suzanne Bonamici advanced through the May 2026 Democratic primary with minimal opposition and faces limited Republican challengers in a district rated Solid D by nonpartisan analysts, with a partisan voting index around D+20. Historical results show Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, driven by the district's composition encompassing Portland's western suburbs and coastal areas with consistent Democratic voting patterns. Factors that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, unexpected primary upset, or late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, though no such events have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$8,182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent for the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Suzanne Bonamici advanced through the May 2026 Democratic primary with minimal opposition and faces limited Republican challengers in a district rated Solid D by nonpartisan analysts, with a partisan voting index around D+20. Historical results show Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, driven by the district's composition encompassing Portland's western suburbs and coastal areas with consistent Democratic voting patterns. Factors that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, unexpected primary upset, or late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, though no such events have materialized in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,182終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon's 1st congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent for the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent Suzanne Bonamici advanced through the May 2026 Democratic primary with minimal opposition and faces limited Republican challengers in a district rated Solid D by nonpartisan analysts, with a partisan voting index around D+20. Historical results show Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, driven by the district's composition encompassing Portland's western suburbs and coastal areas with consistent Democratic voting patterns. Factors that could narrow the gap include a significant national political shift, unexpected primary upset, or late-campaign developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs, though no such events have materialized in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問