Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party’s nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 89 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning her for a general election matchup against Republican nominee Barbara Kahl. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s western Portland suburbs and coastal areas. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and voter composition, though late-cycle national shifts or unexpected developments could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,263 Vol.
94%
共和党
$1,174 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party’s nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 89 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning her for a general election matchup against Republican nominee Barbara Kahl. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s western Portland suburbs and coastal areas. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and voter composition, though late-cycle national shifts or unexpected developments could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$9,435終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party’s nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 89 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning her for a general election matchup against Republican nominee Barbara Kahl. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s western Portland suburbs and coastal areas. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and voter composition, though late-cycle national shifts or unexpected developments could still influence the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,435終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 1st congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party’s nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 89 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning her for a general election matchup against Republican nominee Barbara Kahl. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s western Portland suburbs and coastal areas. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and voter composition, though late-cycle national shifts or unexpected developments could still influence the November 3 outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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